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BDarch
06-07-2005, 05:13 PM
***** Hand History for Game 2170610814 *****
NL Hold'em $50 Buy-in + $5 Entry Fee Trny:12893119 Level:5 Blinds(100/200) - Tuesday, June 07, 17:09:04 EDT 2005
Table Table 12953 (Real Money)
Seat 8 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 1: Blue_LabelA ( $1632 )
Seat 2: pottv ( $1025 )
Seat 3: Charlychooch ( $1020 )
Seat 4: latekitchen ( $1884 )
Seat 6: FifthCircle ( $1560 )
Seat 7: JML7575 ( $516 )
Seat 8: LowBillMill ( $537 )
Seat 9: valorous ( $600 )
Seat 10: BDarch ( $1226 )
Trny:12893119 Level:5
Blinds(100/200)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to BDarch [ 7c Kc ]
Blue_LabelA folds.
pottv folds.
>You have options at Table 11515 Table!.
Charlychooch folds.
latekitchen folds.
FifthCircle folds.
JML7575 is all-In [516]
LowBillMill is all-In [537]
valorous folds.
BDarch calls ????

There is 1357 in the pot already and I only need to put in another 337 but if I call and lose I'm down to a little less than 700 and have significantly less FE, so should this be an automatic call?

J-Lo
06-07-2005, 05:49 PM
call and hope to double up. Ther overlay is HUGE-- take tha gamble.

if you fold u have about %12.8 of prize pool-- if u call and win u get 25%, if u call and lose u have 9.3%. Huge overlay-- go for it. When there are 5-8 people left, and blinds this huge, YOU HAVE TO GAMBLE-- take every +CHIP EV oportunity. Now, who knows how to user pokerstove and can figure out the rest of the ICM calc. Or show me how to use pokerstove.

schwza
06-08-2005, 11:24 AM
yeah, i'd call. you're gonna be well under 33% to win, but the bets are too small compared to your blind.

junkmail3
06-08-2005, 11:27 AM
Gotta call.

swarm
06-08-2005, 11:32 AM
don't like it but gotta call... your 10 handed in level 5!

microbet
06-08-2005, 12:12 PM
If they are both fairly loose here you will have about a 26% chance to win.

.26 * .25 + .74 * .093 = .134

So, .6% +$EV.

If either of them are tight you will have about a 23% chance to win.

.23 * .25 + .77 * .093 = .129 which is pretty $EV neutral.

The table is tight though. If you fold, there will not be a supershort stack. If it folds around to you, seat 1 is a good candidate to have his blinds stolen (just based on his stack). After that you have a few shots at picking up a good hand.

On the other hand, you are almost certainly not going to just steal your way ITM. You are going to have to double somewhere. This is a shot at doubling without risking a bust. If you lose you will still have a decent enough stack that you may only have to double once in order to get ITM.

I vote call, because I like the alternative less (just like in a real election).