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View Full Version : I can't believe I thought this was a hard lay down


bigredlemon
06-02-2005, 06:09 PM
7 Card Stud High-Low ($1/$2), Ante $0.10, Bring-In $0.50 (hand converter (http://www.geocities.com/greenage22/7StudConverter.hta.txt))

3rd Street - (0.70 SB)

Seat 1: xx xx T/images/graemlins/heart.gif___calls
Seat 2: xx xx 7/images/graemlins/club.gif___calls
Seat 3: xx xx 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif___calls
Seat 4: xx xx 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif___brings-in___calls
Hero: A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif A/images/graemlins/heart.gif 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif___raises
Seat 6: xx xx A/images/graemlins/club.gif___folds
Seat 8: xx xx T/images/graemlins/spade.gif___folds

4th Street - (5.70 SB)

Seat 1: xx xx T/images/graemlins/heart.gif 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif___calls
Seat 2: xx xx 7/images/graemlins/club.gif 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif___calls
Seat 3: xx xx 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif 5/images/graemlins/club.gif___folds
Seat 4: xx xx 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif___calls
Hero: A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif A/images/graemlins/heart.gif 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif J/images/graemlins/spade.gif___bets

5th Street - (4.85 BB)

Seat 1: xx xx T/images/graemlins/heart.gif 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif___bets___calls
Seat 2: xx xx 7/images/graemlins/club.gif 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif___raises
Seat 4: xx xx 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif___checks___folds
Hero: A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif A/images/graemlins/heart.gif 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif J/images/graemlins/spade.gif T/images/graemlins/club.gif___checks___folds

6th Street - (8.85 BB)

Seat 1: xx xx T/images/graemlins/heart.gif 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif K/images/graemlins/club.gif___calls
Seat 2: xx xx 7/images/graemlins/club.gif 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif A/images/graemlins/spade.gif___bets

River - (10.85 BB)

Seat 1: xx xx T/images/graemlins/heart.gif 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif K/images/graemlins/club.gif xx___calls
Seat 2: xx xx 7/images/graemlins/club.gif 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif A/images/graemlins/spade.gif xx___bets

Total pot: (12.85 BB)

Results:
Total pot $25.70 | Rake $1

Seat 1: [Qd Qh Th 8h 2h Kc 7s] (HI: a pair of Queens)
Seat 2: [8d 4s 7c 6s 2s As 4d] (HI: a pair of Fours; LO: 7,6,4,2,A)


I thought it was a hard laydown but it looks like I was being too results oriented. He had pretty much what i thought he had.

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
Where I actually stood:
pokenum -mc 500000 -7s8 qd qh th 8h 2h - 8d 4s 7c 6s 2s - ad ah 9d js tc
7-card Stud Hi/Low 8-or-better: 500000 sampled outcomes
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Qd Qh Th 8h 2h 0 257152 242830 18 0 0 0 0.257
6s 4s 2s 7c 8d 84142 84142 415858 0 500000 0 0 0.584
Js Tc Ad 9d Ah 0 158688 341294 18 0 0 0 0.159


Where I was hoping I stood
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=996947
pokenum -mc 500000 -7s8 td qc th 8h 2h - 8d 4s 7c 6s 2s - ad ah 9d js tc
7-card Stud Hi/Low 8-or-better: 500000 sampled outcomes
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
Qc Td Th 8h 2h 0 117498 382454 48 0 0 0 0.118
6s 4s 2s 7c 8d 127346 127346 372652 2 500000 0 0 0.627
Js Tc Ad 9d Ah 0 255108 244846 46 0 0 0 0.255</pre><hr />
either way I had less than 1/3rd pot equity, even HU. In a small pot, I barely have the odds to call a bet by just the low, let alone playing just for high with someone showing 3flush. I guess calling with just a big pair on fifth is a big leak of mine.