2/4 Hand with river donkbet

[shadow29]

Ah the villain. What a champion. He is the reason I am at this table. His stats? 82/44/1.5. No joke. Anyway, I honestly hadn't played with him that much, but here's something interesting that I like to extrapolate out of stats. His aff is 1.5, his aft is 1.1, but his afr is 2.6. Chew on that, and tell me if I should call his gaybet. I am certain that he is capable of betting this river on a busted flush draw, but that doesn't necessarily mean that he does have a busted flush draw here.

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif, J/images/graemlins/heart.gif. UTG posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, UTG (poster) calls.

Flop: (6 SB) 6/images/graemlins/club.gif, 5/images/graemlins/club.gif, J/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls, UTG calls.

Turn: (4.50 BB) 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB folds, UTG calls.

River: (6.50 BB) A/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>

edit- converter messed up. UTG = BB.

[kapw7]

I'm sure you win this 1 out of 8 times. And if you fold ppl (especially players like villain) will try this stupid bluff all the time.

[Shillx]

River: (6.50 BB)

Looks like a call to me. You will win here far more then 1 in 8.5 times I would think...

Brad

[imported_ncray]

Another thing to keep in mind is that the river ace gives J-rag top kicker. I'd call this one.