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View Full Version : ITM Big draw against probable pair


Phoenix1010
05-24-2005, 03:58 PM
From the way he's been playing, I put the villain on a pair on the flop. The turn gives me a few extra outs. Should I push the flop? Should I lead push the turn? Should I find a fold on the turn? Both players are rather weak and the blinds are fairly low, I'm confident I have a small chance of stealing my way back into it before they go up again.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (3 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

SB (t3220)
Hero (t1620)
Button (t3160)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif, J/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
Button calls t200, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero checks.

Flop: (t500) 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 9/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t300</font>, Button calls t300.

Turn: (t1100) 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets t500</font>, Hero is all-in, Button calls t620.

Phoenix1010
05-24-2005, 04:46 PM
bump

jgunnip
05-24-2005, 04:52 PM
I think the turn is either push or check/fold If you're 90% sure he's has a pair. He's got you very covered so its unlikely he'll fold a pair to your check/push on the turn.

nWirb
05-24-2005, 04:54 PM
I would push the turn here.
You have a strong draw, but only 1 card to come which means you only have like ~28% to improve.
Checkraising here comitts villian and he will be a favourite to win the hand with any holding stronger then a pair of fives.