i think this line sucks.

[TStoneMBD]

villain is 41/14/1.2 after 22 hands. no reads.

Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
UTG calls, MP calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, BB calls, UTG calls, MP calls.

Flop: (8 SB) 8/images/graemlins/club.gif, 7/images/graemlins/club.gif, 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, MP folds, Hero calls.

Turn: (6 BB) K/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Hero calls.

River: (8 BB) J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, UTG folds.

Final Pot: 11 BB

[JDalla]

I don't understand raising the river here as opposed to raising the turn. If he is on a draw, he is calling your turn raise, not your river raise. If he has an 8 he is more likely to call the turn raise, as a river bluff might seem less likely by you.

A safer play (not sure on EV+-) would be to lead the turn, so that a 7 would only be paid off another 3 BB, instead the 4 that a checkraise on the turn or river would cost.

[mperich]

I like a turn lead as well. This guy is too passive and the king is a scarecard. Also the board is too drawheavy.
If I do check the turn its with the intention of c/ring.

-Mike

[TStoneMBD]

i thought that by checkraising the river, it would be less likely of him to raise trips as im representing a boat then if i raised the turn. also, i think he would be more likely to pay off to a river checkraise with a 1 pair type hand but i could be wrong. i think leading out on the turn is the smart approach here, but im still confused.

[JDalla]

In my experience, most players who flop trips don't fear boats to a river c/r, and will go ahead and 3 bet. I think the only hands he could have that would make the river checkraise "worthwhile" would be Kx, Jx, 8x, and maybe some pocket pairs.

[lostinthought]

I like leading the turn here as well. You lose less when you are behind, but you still extract at least 2 to showdown.

It also prevents villian from taking a free card.

basically a reiteration of what everybody else said.

[Wynton]

I like your line. If you check/raise the turn, villain might fold right there. I suppose you could have led turn, but wouldn't you have made the same amount as you did anyway?

[ctv1116]

Yes, I don't like this line. What do you hope to accomplish? Extract an extra bet out of a flush draw or bluffer? Most flush draws or gutshots just give up and check the river, and he's not bluffing that often.

At 5/10 an 8 is going to call down if you lead out or c/r the turn. I've seen people call turn c/r with as little as a gutshot. They aren't doing that on the river when they can't chase.

If he has a 7, you're losing the same amount whether you turn c/r or river c/r. In fact, if you're willing to lay down AK to a turn 3bet, you might even save 2 bets with the turn c/r.

I'm trying to put some more thought into hand posts, so I'd hope to get some feedback on my anaylsis. Thanks.

[wheelz]

I think check-raising is actually my default there. Is that bad? I get a "he's just bluffing that king" call down most of the time, so I thought it was my best option.

[Chobohoya]

I agree with the title. Raise the turn here, your river raise does not have value.

[TStoneMBD]

the guy folded to the river checkraise.

thanks everyone for the advice.

[Derek in NYC]

I bet the turn. Too often they're doing either a freecard or protection move. This guy's post-flop AF isnt so high that you can be guaranteed that he's going to bet the turn for you, or alternatively, raise you again on a semi-bluff.

[TStoneMBD]

well, considering that i dont think i can fold if he does raise me, i definitely want him to raise the turn on a semibluff. thats a disadvantage to betting, not an advantage, imo.