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View Full Version : Can Somebody settle a bet for me???


Feltin Licter
05-23-2005, 08:10 PM
What are the odds in Holdem' every card is the same suit?

Flop + Turn + River all same suit.

Thanks in advance!

mostsmooth
05-23-2005, 08:32 PM
caveman math
12/51 * 11/50 * 10/49 * 9/48
but i think somebody with more math skills may make the flop more confusing (more correct even?) if the flop is viewed as one part of the equation with many variations rather than the way i did it looking at one card at a time and use fancy math terms
.0019% or so, in odds terms 52630 to 1
of course, i could be way off

PairTheBoard
05-23-2005, 09:14 PM
For a specified particular suit:

(13*12*11*10*9)/(52*51*50*49*48) = .000495 or about 1 time in 2019.

For any suit, about 1 chance in 505.

That's what I'm getting. Seems about right to me. Of course for a particular suit, if you know you have one or two of the suit in your hand before hand that changes things.

PairTheBoard

mostsmooth
05-23-2005, 09:58 PM
[ QUOTE ]
caveman math
12/51 * 11/50 * 10/49 * 9/48
but i think somebody with more math skills may make the flop more confusing (more correct even?) if the flop is viewed as one part of the equation with many variations rather than the way i did it looking at one card at a time and use fancy math terms
.0019% or so, in odds terms 52630 to 1
of course, i could be way off

[/ QUOTE ]
oops problem 1: decimal place, problem 2: rounding
change .0019% to .19%
without rounding to .19 gets you 503.8 to 1 or so
rounding would be 525 to 1
i was kinda close /images/graemlins/cool.gif
pairtheboard opened my eyes!