Pokey
05-22-2005, 08:10 PM
<font color="blue">Standard Party Poker table with too many people seeing too many flops and playing too passively.
<font color="red">LAP</font> was loose and semi-aggressive preflop (VPIP 42%, PFR 6%) and passive post-flop (AvgAgg 0.83, mostly on the river) after a bit over 100 hands.
<font color="red">Calling Station</font> had 33% VPIP, 0% PFR, and an AvgAgg of 0.55 but the read was only on 40 hands.</font>
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (8 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)
Preflop: Pokey is Button with 2/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 <font color="#A500AF">(Calling Station)</font> calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey raises</font>, SB <font color="#A500AF">(LAP)</font> calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 <font color="#A500AF">(Calling Station)</font> calls.
<font color="blue">Somewhat successful isolation raise.</font>
Flop: (7 SB) J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
LAP checks, Calling Station checks, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey bets</font>, LAP calls, Calling Station calls.
<font color="blue">Obvious.</font>
Turn: (5 BB) 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
LAP checks, Calling Station checks, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey bets</font>, LAP calls, Calling Station calls.
<font color="blue">Equally obvious.</font>
River: (8 BB) 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
LAP checks, Calling Station checks, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey bets</font>....
<font color="blue">Here's where I run into trouble. Is this bet +EV? I'm imagining that any diamond flush draw is playing exactly the way <font color="red">LAP</font> played this hand so far, and who knows what <font color="red">Calling Station</font> has. I was very worried that a diamond flush was going to check-raise me but any other hand would fold. The deciding factor was that <font color="red">Calling Station</font> had a WSD over 40%; I figured he'd call with whatever made him call on the flop and turn and I'd make money off the deal. This is the proper move here, right?</font>
<font color="red">LAP</font> was loose and semi-aggressive preflop (VPIP 42%, PFR 6%) and passive post-flop (AvgAgg 0.83, mostly on the river) after a bit over 100 hands.
<font color="red">Calling Station</font> had 33% VPIP, 0% PFR, and an AvgAgg of 0.55 but the read was only on 40 hands.</font>
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (8 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)
Preflop: Pokey is Button with 2/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 <font color="#A500AF">(Calling Station)</font> calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey raises</font>, SB <font color="#A500AF">(LAP)</font> calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 <font color="#A500AF">(Calling Station)</font> calls.
<font color="blue">Somewhat successful isolation raise.</font>
Flop: (7 SB) J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
LAP checks, Calling Station checks, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey bets</font>, LAP calls, Calling Station calls.
<font color="blue">Obvious.</font>
Turn: (5 BB) 6/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
LAP checks, Calling Station checks, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey bets</font>, LAP calls, Calling Station calls.
<font color="blue">Equally obvious.</font>
River: (8 BB) 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
LAP checks, Calling Station checks, <font color="#CC3333">Pokey bets</font>....
<font color="blue">Here's where I run into trouble. Is this bet +EV? I'm imagining that any diamond flush draw is playing exactly the way <font color="red">LAP</font> played this hand so far, and who knows what <font color="red">Calling Station</font> has. I was very worried that a diamond flush was going to check-raise me but any other hand would fold. The deciding factor was that <font color="red">Calling Station</font> had a WSD over 40%; I figured he'd call with whatever made him call on the flop and turn and I'd make money off the deal. This is the proper move here, right?</font>