NBA 5/20 Crazy Prop

My site has a prop for tonight's PHX/DAL game:

Largest lead by either team o/u 16.

16????

Can you possibly see either team with a 16-point lead in this game? An elimination game for Dallas?

I'm sure I'll eat my words, but this one seems crazy.

[joshman1204]

bet the farm on the under.

oh I did

[heropretend]

damn wish i had this. too late now.

[mace25]

i bet people were thinking the same thing about the celtics/ pacers game 7......... and look how that ended up.


or the rockets... dallas last game........ both blowouts!

obviously it's not an automatic

but isn't our "business" trying to find wagers with a +EV?

This one looks like it has +++EV. Having watched most of this series, and being somewhat familiar with the teams, my feeling is that Dallas is not going up by 16 on Phoenix unless the game falls apart at the end, and on the road in an elimination game for the home team Phoenix is not going to open up a 16 point lead on Dallas.

So thanks for reminding me I might be wrong. It's happened before (like just about every play last night). Hopefully this one will come in.

[plus_man]

Well this may be off the subject a little but since it may do good for the business (wink,wink), Ill include it. This season vipsports has had a prop every sunday night for the baseball game of the week. It is whether or not an outfielder from either team will have an assist in the game. To bet no, the odds are only -250. That really seems low to me.

well this is not working out as I had hoped

[Kevroc]

80-64

this is amazing, the biggest lead of the game was exactly 16 -- and PHX comes back to send it to OT ... the numbers in these playoffs have been unbelievable

so the question then is, is 16 a loss or a push? admittedly I do not bet props often (generally never), so if anyone knows the answer I'd appreciate it

[heropretend]

im 95% sure it'll be a push.

thanks, it was a push

it's just amazing that the thing was dead on