Ok here is a bubble hand

[utmt40]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

SB (t4585)
BB (t4970)
UTG (t1335)
Hero (t2610)

Preflop: Hero is Button with J/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to t1310</font>, Hero????

My wondering is this....If you are just calling tell me why. If you are folding tell me why. If you are raising all-in please tell me why. Any other comments are good too. Thanks

[ripped]

I am not sure but I think either pushing or folding is almost correct here. There is no calling. Being the short stack he might be pushing any ace. Whats your read on him?. I think thats the only way to figure out your best option. If he has been tight fold and if he has been loose push.

[utmt40]

I felt like he had made some questionable plays the whole tourney but he did tighten up some as it got further along in the tourney.

[ripped]

was he making any steal attempts?..If so were any showed down?

[utmt40]

He had tried min raising a few times to steal. Worked a few times but when others saw the flop and he folded if someone bet into him.

[jgunnip]

With the structure of PS SNGs I feel very comfortable with 13BB here and pass this situation up a lot as long as UTG isn't LAG.

[uphigh_downlow]

It seems that on basis of equity, this would be an even money call, if you figured even odds on the hand. That is 50% chances of winning the pot.

That would indicate a easy fold here. Add the factor that one of the big stacks might wake up with a monster, makes it easier to fold.

[gasgod]

I agree with ripped, push or fold.

I fold. Two live hands behind me, both having me covered and a so-so hand. Given the stack sizes, Calling and winning doesn't make me a favorite for first, so getting ITM is first priority.

GG

[Nottom]

This is actually pretty close, and as usual is completely dependant on what UTG will push here. ICM tells us you need to win a little over half the time for it to be +$EV.

So decide what you think his range is and decide if AJ is a going to usually be a favorite. Most of the time you can go ahead and fold, but if he is on the laggy side, you can probably go ahead and push over the top.

----------------------------------------------------------------
Just for reference AJ has around 50% equity vs the following range { AA-44, AKs-A6s, KQs-KTs, QJs, AKo-A9o, KQo-KJo }

equity (%) win (%) / tie (%)

Hand 1: 50.1663 % [ 00.46 00.04 ] { AA-44, AKs-A6s, KQs-KTs, QJs, AKo-A9o, KQo-KJo }
Hand 2: 49.8337 % [ 00.46 00.04 ] { AJo }

[treeofwisdom7]

i would think about his actions in the last 10 or so hands.. if hes not pushing with 78s i would fold..

i gotta use icm.. altho im not understanding how to use it.. i'll try to figure it out