PDA

View Full Version : Entertaining improbable 3 way split


sonicblue
05-08-2005, 11:01 PM
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (10 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

MP2 (t1225)
MP3 (t510)
CO (t955)
Button (t1510)
Hero (t970)
BB (t790)
UTG (t890)
UTG+1 (t830)
UTG+2 (t1350)
MP1 (t970)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K/images/graemlins/spade.gif, K/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+2 calls t20, MP1 calls t20, MP2 calls t20, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls t20, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t40</font>, BB calls t20, UTG+2 calls t20, MP1 calls t20, MP2 calls t20, CO calls t20.

Flop: (t240) J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, K/images/graemlins/heart.gif, T/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t125</font>, BB folds, UTG+2 calls t125, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, CO calls t125.

Turn: (t615) A/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t125</font>, UTG+2 calls t125, CO calls t125.

River: (t990) Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, UTG+2 checks, CO checks.

Final Pot: t990

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
Hero has Ks Kc (straight, ace high).
UTG+2 has Qd 8d (straight, ace high).
CO has Qc 7s (straight, ace high).
Outcome: CO wins t330. Hero wins t330. UTG+2 wins t330. </font>

I had to laugh at this one. If any math whizzes out there feel like running the odds of this outcome through the paces, I'd be grateful.

closer2313
05-08-2005, 11:14 PM
I believe the only way the pot will split 3 ways if the river and turn come in some combination of A and a Q. There are 8 ways the remaining Aces and Queens can come and there are C(43,2) ways the river/turn can come.
[8 / (43 choose 2)] * 100 ~ .88%

sonicblue
05-08-2005, 11:31 PM
Thanks closer2313.
If you notice the results, the other two players had a Queen in their hand. Does that change the 8 in the equation to a 6?

closer2313
05-09-2005, 01:09 AM
I was figuring for 4 aces and 2 queens which makes 8 combinations.

wmspringer
05-10-2005, 01:09 PM
Oddly enough, pretty much the exact same thing happened to me a day or two ago, but in a cash game. (Had probable best hand, straight hit the board, ended up in a 4-way tie)

Black Aces 518
05-10-2005, 04:03 PM
PS I know it sucks to lose this hand but you played it miserably.

I can't believe the minraise after 4 llimpers. No one is going to fold, and now everyone is tied to the pot. I would have raised to 150-200 there. Then, the bet on the flop is horribly weak. That flop is draw heavy, and you are allowing them all in for super cheap (again). The turn bet gives singleton hearts odds to outdraw you if you aren't already beat. Bad on every street, except the river.

Nice save on the river. Next time pair the board instead.