xorbie
05-04-2005, 04:51 AM
When you completely miss. I think this is clearly bad to do 100% of the time. Especially if you are like me and have 10-15% PFR or something in LP and can't afford to not pick up or play aggressively.
However, I think always making a contination bet is very -EV from a table image POV, for two reasons:
(1) When you check behind after you miss, this just makes it more likely that when you bet out, you actually have something. For example, if I raise on the button with KJs and then check behind on a Q47 flop down to the river, next time I bet, people are more likely to believe I have top pair.
(2) This lets you slowplay good hands from time to time. Say you've been LAGing it up. You get AA in CO and raise. Get a couple callers, flop is a beautiful A93r. Checked to you, you check behind. Now you get some action from 98. Yay. This is even better if you happen to check in EP after hitting a nice flop because people are more likely to believe you have nothing.
Now I'm still tinkering with it, but I'm thinking that checking down all the way with just a high card about 30%-50% of the time is good.
Agreed? Disagree?
However, I think always making a contination bet is very -EV from a table image POV, for two reasons:
(1) When you check behind after you miss, this just makes it more likely that when you bet out, you actually have something. For example, if I raise on the button with KJs and then check behind on a Q47 flop down to the river, next time I bet, people are more likely to believe I have top pair.
(2) This lets you slowplay good hands from time to time. Say you've been LAGing it up. You get AA in CO and raise. Get a couple callers, flop is a beautiful A93r. Checked to you, you check behind. Now you get some action from 98. Yay. This is even better if you happen to check in EP after hitting a nice flop because people are more likely to believe you have nothing.
Now I'm still tinkering with it, but I'm thinking that checking down all the way with just a high card about 30%-50% of the time is good.
Agreed? Disagree?