AKs vs uberlag boy

[JDErickson]

Opponent 90/27 after 40 hands.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (10 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A/images/graemlins/heart.gif, K/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (6.33 SB) 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 5/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB folds, UTG calls.

Turn: (4.16 BB) 3/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

River: (6.16 BB) 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Hero ??

Thoughts?

[New001]

I'd raise and call a 3-bet.

[toss]

I'd raise him, but I don't think I'll be capping.

[Jules22]

looks like the confused donkey bluff for one bet on the river into an aggressor. definitely raise, call a 3 bet and puke if he had 32 looking for the gutshot

[TomBrooks]

Call. UTG is saying he can beat Top Pair aces, but I'd check him out in case he's bluffing.

[TomBrooks]

[ QUOTE ]
looks like the confused donkey bluff

[/ QUOTE ]
It crossed my mind that maybe he had a weak ace and he got confused when the board paired twice thinking his ace was a good kicker to two pair. But I find it's usually better to give your opponent credit for playing well, because if you assume he will do something sub-optimal you can get burned when it turns out he is not as much of a donk as you hoped he would be.

[ErrantNight]

but he's a huge donk!

[JDErickson]

With the double paired board and the flush on board I decided to play it safe and just called.

Tom had it correct and opponents A8 was no good.

[ErrantNight]

is he just as maniacal post-flop? raise and call.

is he passive post-flop? just call.

[chief444]

I think you'd hear from a 5 or flush earlier than the river. A 3 isn't really a big concern. And pretty much any two cards are calling a raise with two pair + A on the board.

[Bizot]

im calling this also, if i raise and he 3 bets there is 2 BB i lose if i raise and he folds then i still get my 1 BB.

Are we good enough here to risk the extra 2 BB enough with these cards out? I don't think so.

[sthief09]

extremely easy raise

[PokerBob]

[ QUOTE ]
Opponent 90/27 after 40 hands.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (10 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with A/images/graemlins/heart.gif, K/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, BB calls, UTG calls.

Flop: (6.33 SB) 5/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 5/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB folds, UTG calls.

Turn: (4.16 BB) 3/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG calls.

River: (6.16 BB) 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Hero ??

Thoughts?

[/ QUOTE ]

Everybody loves the check/call, check/call, bet line because it rarely brings a river raise. Raise that mofo out of spite. OK, maybe not as you're probably chopping. Fish get lucky sometimes. I think I call and swear.

EDIT: Raise this every time. I thought it was a chop because I am not very bright.

[PokerBob]

[ QUOTE ]
extremely easy raise

[/ QUOTE ]

Are we not most likely feeding the rake here?

EDIT: I am a retard.

[ErrantNight]

you think the fish has AK? nothing else splits this pot.

[PokerBob]

[ QUOTE ]
you think the fish has AK? nothing else splits this pot.

[/ QUOTE ]

lol. I am retarded. You're right. Raise this mofo. Now go to the library.

[KDawgCometh]

considering your read on villian, I'd be inxclined to raise his ass on the river. if hwe hung around with a three, well you'll have a new buddy. I think the raise will certainly be for value as it is very likely he has a weaker ace

[Bizot]

i know 40 hands isn't much to go off of here.. but and PFAF would be helpful here if he is the type to try and buy the pot with a "scare" card raise him. I kind of ignored his PFR something like 27? So I'm guessing he is moderately over agro, raise the river call the 3 bet and curse is my new opinion.

[VBM]

you outkick weaker A, and that A will pay off...