1800GAMBLER
04-18-2005, 10:11 AM
I was going through this hand (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&Number=2173755&page=0&view=colla psed&sb=5&o=14&fpart=1) which is a common hand and decided i'd help my dad out with the situation.
I wanted to help him visualise how to hand read. The way i visualise it is with a probability tree and with each of villians decisions i visualise it going down one 'street' of the probability tree.
After that i decided to go through the maths to decide if Hero should slowplay or not (hero flopped a set), in my diagram i assumed it was heads up, which the hand that was posted wasn't; there's also some other pretty big assumptions in there that have a BIG affect on the EV of each case, if you guys really care it will help a lot if you change the assumptions and then do the math for these, i.e. assume only 50% of unknown players will bet AK - AJ on the turn and then see the EV.
Anyhow, i figured someone else may benefit from this so here's the MS Paint diagram.
(Ed Miller also did one of his quizs on flopping a set and playing each one different, if someone could link me to that and the other quizs it would be great)
http://img122.echo.cx/img122/9228/long7eo.jpg
I wanted to help him visualise how to hand read. The way i visualise it is with a probability tree and with each of villians decisions i visualise it going down one 'street' of the probability tree.
After that i decided to go through the maths to decide if Hero should slowplay or not (hero flopped a set), in my diagram i assumed it was heads up, which the hand that was posted wasn't; there's also some other pretty big assumptions in there that have a BIG affect on the EV of each case, if you guys really care it will help a lot if you change the assumptions and then do the math for these, i.e. assume only 50% of unknown players will bet AK - AJ on the turn and then see the EV.
Anyhow, i figured someone else may benefit from this so here's the MS Paint diagram.
(Ed Miller also did one of his quizs on flopping a set and playing each one different, if someone could link me to that and the other quizs it would be great)
http://img122.echo.cx/img122/9228/long7eo.jpg