PDA

View Full Version : Question About Favorable Flops


KeithF40
04-12-2005, 04:09 AM
Im trying to figure out hands that I feel have at least a 50 percent chance of seeing a favorable flop. A favorable flop for me generally includes flopping
1. Royal Flush
2. Straight Flush
3. Full House using both cards in my hand in order to actually create the full house
4. Flush
5. Straight without having three cards to a flush on board
6. Set without having three cards to a flush on board
7. Trips
8. Two Pair using both cards in my hand to actually make the two pair and without having three cards to a flush on board
9. Overpair without the board being paired and without having three cards to a flush on board
10. Top Pair while holding either the first or second nut kicker without the board being paired and without there being three to a flush on board
11. Holding suited cards and flopping a flush draw
12. Flopping three to a suit where I hold only the ace to that suit in my hand
13. Flopping an open ended straight draw or double belly buster straight draw where im not drawing to dummy end of a straight

What hands would actually create favorable situations like this. Also it would be nice if someone could post the math involved in finding out these situations.

Aaron W.
04-12-2005, 11:38 AM
I worked on that problem a while ago. My results are not conclusive (or even verified), but there's a ton of information out there just waiting to be picked apart. Most of the numbers came from simulations (dealing out all 19600 different flops given a starting hand), and I don't have quite the details you are seeking, but I doubt you'll find anything closer than this.
GFI Index (http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&Number=1833461&page=4&view=colla psed&sb=5&o=14&fpart=1)

If you start to hammer away at it a little, let me know. I'm curious to see what others think.