Party Bad Beat Jackpot Conspiracy Theories

[Glenn]

Can someone explain to me why the Party jackpot hasn't gotten above $100k in a long time? When it started, jackpots of 200k+ were common, and it even reached 600k or so at one point. I haven't seen it above 50k in a long while, even though the terms are the same. Teams of gnomes?

[MicroBob]

always one for a good conspiracy theory I decided to read your post.


I believe it was at $110k just a couple days ago.


When it first started it did NOT regularly surpass $200k and I don't know why you think it did.


The reason the jackpot total fluctuates like that is because sometimes the jackpot will be hit....and other times it takes longer for it to be hit.
If it gets hit more frequently then the jackpot will not go very high. But if it doesn't get hit as frequently then the jackpot will go higher.
Thus, if you are interested in playing when the jackpot is higher you should wait for those times when it hasn't been hit for a little while because then the jackpot will be higher.
If you don't wait for such times then you will be playing when the jackpot is lower.

Thank you.

BTW - This is not unlike the BBJ at B&M's where sometimes it gets hit 3x within a week or so for $10k or less....and other times it will go past $100k.

[Glenn]

Sorry, I had noticed it had been low lately and figured I'd half-troll about it--although I wouldn't be surprised if something strange was going on player wise. I was just trying to have some fun. Do you really think I am so dumb that I needed to be told: "The reason the jackpot total fluctuates like that is because sometimes the jackpot will be hit....and other times it takes longer for it to be hit.
"? Either I came off very wrong or my three digit number of posts doesn't garner me any respect. Either way, I apologize for wasting everyone's time.

[lorinda]

I think Bob was refering to the re-seeding percentage so that when it's high, it stays high.

Personally I remember you from the pre-1000-post-per-month days so I wouldn't be surprised if you were correct.

Lori

[Homer]

[ QUOTE ]
Sorry, I had noticed it had been low lately and figured I'd half-troll about it--although I wouldn't be surprised if something strange was going on player wise. I was just trying to have some fun. Do you really think I am so dumb that I needed to be told: "The reason the jackpot total fluctuates like that is because sometimes the jackpot will be hit....and other times it takes longer for it to be hit.
"? Either I came off very wrong or my three digit number of posts doesn't garner me any respect. Either way, I apologize for wasting everyone's time.

[/ QUOTE ]

You're a spaz. Like me. And that's cool. Not really.

[MicroBob]

actually I was just trying to be a bit silly.
Kind of like saying, "you see....if you have the best hand at show-down then YOU win the pot....but if someone else has the best at show-down then THEY win the pot." Also, "the team who is able to put the most points on the board will have the best chance of winning," and "if it quacks like a duck it is most likely a duck. but if it meows like my cat then it is probably NOT a duck."

thank you.

[Perseus]

we only need one john madden in this world

[Losing all]

I don't need no John Madden. I do need my mute button every monday night in the fall.

[Shoe]

I think there is some team play going on in powerball now too.... that hasn't been over $600 million for a long time now.

[grjr]

Fortune Cookies.

[Lurshy]

Just a dumb theory:

At first it was a novelty, people played it, so it grew quickly, and there were big jackpots.

People saw the bigggg jackpots and said: Hmmm, Why should I pay the extra toll when the Jackpot is below 100K. So often it is above 100K, so the reward is a lot bigger for the same jackpot toll.

I'll just wait till the jackpot is bigggg before trying for it.

With so many people waiting, it grows more slowly. Once it is big it grows more quickly as more people play it.

Similar to Lotto.


JMHO not data to back it up...

[Baulucky]

That's because there is competition between I and a group of others that know the procedure required to hit it. It will never get very high again, at least while I'm alive.

[EliteNinja]

I think they turned down the bad beat knob.

[random]

This reasoning is flawed. The issue isn't how quickly it grows, rather, it doesn't grow to as large as it used to. The number of hands it takes to hit the jackpot seems to have gone down dramatically. The number of people playing the tables over what period of time should not matter.

[iluzion]

[ QUOTE ]

I believe it was at $110k just a couple days ago.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm pretty sure your right. Also, as of right now its at $115k.

[Baulucky]

Time for me to get to work on it then.

[Lurshy]

Yes my thinking is flawed, but only partially.

Organically if each raked pot has a .50 JP toll, in 200000 hands there will be a JP built up to 100K. Now if hands are played at a rate of 10000 raked hands an hour you would reach 100k in under a day. If hands were played at a rate of 1000 raked hands an hour it would take about 9 days to reach the same 100k total JP (I know my math is inexact, but I am just illustrating the idea).

That combined with a possible streak of BBJs with low jack pots will work to keep the BBJ small. AA doesn't come around every 220 hands. You could easily be dealt AA 4 times in a hundred hands and not again for 2000 hands. Same with the Bad Beat Jackpot deals as well.

[Glenn]

I believe it was at $110k just a couple days ago.


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"I'm pretty sure your right. Also, as of right now its at $115k. "

They did that just to make me look stupid.

RIGGGGGGGGGGGGGGED