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View Full Version : Thoughts on this small edge


IgorSmiles
03-31-2005, 12:50 AM
The pot odds are there, the folding equity is not. We are about 30 players from the bubble and it's a $10 tourney so I'm not especially interested in the $17 first tier of cash but I do have just below the average chip count and am under no pressure to gamble just yet.

PokerStars Game #1445082185: Tournament #6452391, Hold'em Pot Limit - Level IX (300/600) - 2005/03/30 - 23:30:08 (ET)
Table '6452391 46' Seat #5 is the button
Seat 2: pfnm (14044 in chips)
Seat 3: Saskman (6872 in chips)
Seat 4: IgorSmiles (9255 in chips)
Seat 5: goldcowboy (27814 in chips)
Seat 6: paytheline7 (10770 in chips)
Seat 7: BruceGorman (13331 in chips)
Seat 8: K747 (9782 in chips)
Seat 9: licktose (23919 in chips)
paytheline7: posts small blind 300
BruceGorman: posts big blind 600
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to IgorSmiles [7h 7s]
K747: folds
licktose: folds
pfnm: raises 600 to 1200
Saskman: folds
IgorSmiles: calls 1200
goldcowboy: calls 1200
paytheline7: folds
BruceGorman: folds
*** FLOP *** [6c 8s 9h]
pfnm: bets 4500

Iconoclastic
03-31-2005, 01:05 AM
Play to win baby. BTW at first glance calling that high % of your stack with a PP doesn't seem right.

captainzodiac
03-31-2005, 02:05 AM
it looks like the preflop raiser is representing an overpair,so it looks like you have 10 outs and a 40% chance to make your hand.that would make it a tough call,for some reason i'm more comfortable making this call with a flush draw,even though your odds are a little less,but that's just me. also he could be one of those guys that can't get away from ak when it gets no help,but that's a risk to assume.
it suppose to be easy to fold small pairs when no trips flop,but i can see it's not here.
i couldn't have gotten away from calling the min raise preflop myself either,but i can see where it would have saved you a tough call. you have 15 bb and he's raising 2,i can live with this gamble to try double up if i flop trips,but sure would hate to go broke because of it!

IgorSmiles
03-31-2005, 10:20 AM
As far as preflop, I considered reraising here, but with 3 players still to act, all who had me covered, my thinking was that one may wake up to a hand. The table was solid and not overly aggressive so I wasnt expecting a reraise preflop unless I was surely beaten. Also, one or more may flat call which gives me better implied odds to hit my set. I didnt give much thought to folding preflop as I wasnt convinced the mini-raiser had a real hand. After the flop, I had no doubt he had an overpair as he pot committed himself. So the push here is roughly 8000 to win 20000, 3 to 2. So, the pot odds are there, I know this guy will call, and I'm 80% sure he is in front. I'm near the bubble and probably coast into getting $17 for my $11 investment. $20,000 in chips puts me double the average stack size heading into bubble time.

I pushed, he had A/9. I missed.

Any other thoughts?