dtbog
03-28-2005, 03:36 AM
A little background:
Setting is $2/$5 NL at Turning Stone, $200 max buy. I have been focusing almost all of my observation efforts on the villain in this hand for about six hours now, as his nearly-impenetrable stack of $1500 makes up about 40% of all of the chips in play on the table.
Villain seems like a mostly solid player, who hasn't gone too far out of line. Every large preflop raise from EP has been a high pair, and most people are paying him off.
Most importantly: whenever anyone has asked villain about his stack, he's responded in a self-deprecating manner about how he lost $1200 earlier at 20/40, and is only now back to even. For this reason, he is seeming relatively risk-averse.
Without further ado:
Villain ($1500) raises to $26 UTG. 3 calls. Hero ($850) calls from BB with 8 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 7 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
(if there's an implied odds hand, it's this one.)
Flop ($130): 3 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 5 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif 6 /images/graemlins/heart.gif
Hero bets $50. Villain raises to $100. MP goes all-in for $25. 2 folds. Hero calls.
(At this point, he's confirmed my suspicion that he has AA/KK but lacks the willingness to make the appropriate raise here. I'm now getting over 6:1 on the call.)
Turn($360): 6 /images/graemlins/club.gif
Hero bets $150. Villain thinks forever, curses, mumbles "I know I'm beat here," and calls.
---------------------------------
What do you think of this line?
The turn was a perfect card for me IMO, because I now have the villain drawing to three outs (EDIT: oops, four. I don't actually have that six that I'm representing.. /images/graemlins/wink.gif). I know he can't call a significant bet with unimproved AA on the river, so I can force him out of the pot.. unless my straight hits, in which case I'm confident that he'll call my value bet. BobboFitos pointed out to me the one angle I hadn't thought of as this hand played out, which is that a third six means death for me on the river as well.
Comments please on all streets, and the following river possibilities:
River ($760): 4 /images/graemlins/club.gif
Hero bets $200.
River ($760): Q /images/graemlins/diamond.gif
Hero bets $400.
-dB
Setting is $2/$5 NL at Turning Stone, $200 max buy. I have been focusing almost all of my observation efforts on the villain in this hand for about six hours now, as his nearly-impenetrable stack of $1500 makes up about 40% of all of the chips in play on the table.
Villain seems like a mostly solid player, who hasn't gone too far out of line. Every large preflop raise from EP has been a high pair, and most people are paying him off.
Most importantly: whenever anyone has asked villain about his stack, he's responded in a self-deprecating manner about how he lost $1200 earlier at 20/40, and is only now back to even. For this reason, he is seeming relatively risk-averse.
Without further ado:
Villain ($1500) raises to $26 UTG. 3 calls. Hero ($850) calls from BB with 8 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 7 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
(if there's an implied odds hand, it's this one.)
Flop ($130): 3 /images/graemlins/spade.gif 5 /images/graemlins/diamond.gif 6 /images/graemlins/heart.gif
Hero bets $50. Villain raises to $100. MP goes all-in for $25. 2 folds. Hero calls.
(At this point, he's confirmed my suspicion that he has AA/KK but lacks the willingness to make the appropriate raise here. I'm now getting over 6:1 on the call.)
Turn($360): 6 /images/graemlins/club.gif
Hero bets $150. Villain thinks forever, curses, mumbles "I know I'm beat here," and calls.
---------------------------------
What do you think of this line?
The turn was a perfect card for me IMO, because I now have the villain drawing to three outs (EDIT: oops, four. I don't actually have that six that I'm representing.. /images/graemlins/wink.gif). I know he can't call a significant bet with unimproved AA on the river, so I can force him out of the pot.. unless my straight hits, in which case I'm confident that he'll call my value bet. BobboFitos pointed out to me the one angle I hadn't thought of as this hand played out, which is that a third six means death for me on the river as well.
Comments please on all streets, and the following river possibilities:
River ($760): 4 /images/graemlins/club.gif
Hero bets $200.
River ($760): Q /images/graemlins/diamond.gif
Hero bets $400.
-dB