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PktAcesSoWht
03-25-2005, 09:46 PM
10sng
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (8 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font>

<font color="#C00000">UTG+1 (t1910)</font>
MP1 (t2990)
MP2 (t1380)
CO (t1150)
Button (t1395)
SB (t1745)
BB (t1520)
<font color="#C00000">Hero (t1410)</font>

Preflop: Hero is UTG with T/images/graemlins/spade.gif, J/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
Hero calls t30, UTG+1 calls t30, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t120) 9/images/graemlins/club.gif, 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t210</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises to t420</font>, SB folds, BB folds, Hero calls t210.

Turn: (t960) J/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t960 (All-In)</font>, UTG+1 calls t960.

River: (t2880) 5/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: t2880

Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
Hero has Ts Js (two pair, jacks and fives).
UTG+1 has Ks Kd (two pair, kings and fives).
Outcome: UTG+1 wins t2880. </font>

willperkins
03-25-2005, 09:56 PM
I would have never had to make the decisions that you had for the following reasons:

Preflop:

I would fold JTs UTG.


Flop:

As stated before, I would have folded preflop, however, if I was faced with this situation, I might take a stab at the pot with my two overcards and make a probe bet of about t40. I would fold to any raise.

microbet
03-25-2005, 09:57 PM
Yep.

In general don't call with JTs UTG. It might be a good hand if it is limped to you in late position. Definately not in early position in the 2nd level.

Post flop, don't try and bluff 6 players in the second round of an $11. When your bluff is raised (even if you have 2 overcards and a gutshot) fold.

Turn. When the villian reraised your large bluff he was claiming to have much better than top pair of 9. The Jack doesn't help. An 8 was the only card for you.

wuwei
03-25-2005, 10:02 PM
Fold preflop.

Fold the flop.

willperkins
03-25-2005, 10:04 PM
I stand corrected. For some reason I was thinking there were only two in the pot. You are absolutely correct, there is no way 5 people are going to fold to a t40 bet in the 2nd round of a 10/1. I would check/fold to any bet on the flop.

curtains
03-25-2005, 11:47 PM
I wouldn't play the hand like this. First of all calling preflop is fine. The stacks are deep, and IF you play well, JTs is a fine hand to have here, even UTG. The shallower the stacks, the more likely you should fold this hand. Also even in this spot it's by no means terrible to fold.

On the flop, I would never have taken your course of action. I believe there is 120 in the pot, and for some reason you made a huge overbet of 210. A normal bet size here would be something like 75-120, 210 is just way out of line. Do you really think that risking 210 to win this 120 is justified? You will be called or raised way too often to make this a good play. Also by betting less you will usually accomplish the same goals as your 210 overbet did.

Now if I did bet I would bet about 90, however I would almost always check this flop, as with a coordinated board like 975, it's unlikely that all of your opponents will fold, and this is what you want of course. After checking I would often call a smallish bet (especially if there are multiple players), but usually fold to a pot sized bet.

PktAcesSoWht
03-26-2005, 11:44 AM
I don't normally play this hand either, but because of reading many posts on this forum and also Harringtons book, I do play this hand every once in a while to vary my play.

PktAcesSoWht
03-26-2005, 11:51 AM
I don't know what you mean by T40 bet. I bet 210 on a 120 pot. I was hoping to take it down right there, and all but one did fold. This reraise seemed to me to be an attempt to just buy scare me off the pot. I thought long and hard on whether to call. I had the inside straight draw and I had two overcards to the board. I figured he probably had top pair on the board, since he had limped into this pot to begin with.

If I had missed on 4th street, then I was going to check it and fold to a bet, but I hit and pushed thinking that I had the better hand, who knew he slowplayed the KK. I had 6 outs to pair and 4 for the inside straight, 10 outs is not so bad. That is 3.7 to 1 and the pot was 3.57 to 1. I would think this is a call at that point.

TheUsher
03-26-2005, 11:53 AM
I think varying your play early in SNG's is a little overrated as you'll almost never see the same opponents again. Let them snap off your blind steal late to let them see you've varied from your TAG play. Harrington was mostly speaking about deep-stacked live tourneys with the same opponents such as those with $1k+ buyins.

PktAcesSoWht
03-26-2005, 11:57 AM
I bet that amount to try and make them fold because there were a lot of people out there and they had folded previous hands to a big bet. I was thinking that I had fold equity with that size bet and were it not for the slow playing KK, I believe it would have worked to perfection. But as you know the problem with fold equity is not knowing with a hundred percent what their cards are. Since everyone limped I did not think that AA, KK, QQ, JJ or even TT was a possible combination as those hands would have been raised most of the time. With those hands obviously the fold equity would be 0. Had someone raise preflop I would not have bet the flop I would have checked to see where I stood and folded if someone made a big bet.

Thanks for everyone's comments.

TheUsher
03-26-2005, 12:01 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I bet that amount to try and make them fold because there were a lot of people out there and they had folded previous hands to a big bet. I was thinking that I had fold equity with that size bet and were it not for the slow playing KK, I believe it would have worked to perfection. But as you know the problem with fold equity is not knowing with a hundred percent what their cards are. Since everyone limped I did not think that AA, KK, QQ, JJ or even TT was a possible combination as those hands would have been raised most of the time. Had someone raise preflop I would not have bet the flop I would have checked to see where I stood and folded if someone made a big bet.

Thanks for everyone's comments.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't like the overbet, but the real question is... do you ever overbet the pot like that when you have a real hand? If not, be prepared to plug a leak when you move up.

PktAcesSoWht
03-26-2005, 12:08 PM
depending on the hand and circumstances absolutely I do. To achieve maximum fold equity you have to overbet the pot.

TheUsher
03-26-2005, 12:16 PM
[ QUOTE ]
depending on the hand and circumstances absolutely I do. To achieve maximum fold equity you have to overbet the pot.

[/ QUOTE ]

I almost never overbet the pot, as usually the case with a real hand, I'm trying to encourage mathematically -EV calls. Only time I'll overbet is if I've seen the opponent make stupid calls earlier in the game where I'm almost certain he'll call this one. Maybe this is where you are wrong in the assessment of this hand, as an overbet here is worthless. If you're resorting to overbet the hand just to steal the pot, it's a poor bet. You don't have to win every pot you're in to win a SNG, just the last one.

curtains
03-26-2005, 12:27 PM
[ QUOTE ]
depending on the hand and circumstances absolutely I do. To achieve maximum fold equity you have to overbet the pot.

[/ QUOTE ]

Of course by overbetting the pot you will make your oppoennts fold more often. However sometimes that amount will be very slight, meanwhile you are risking a lot more chips. I truly think this is a very poor bet.

Also to say that your opponents raise was just trying to "scare you off the hand", is very paranoid thinking. Why would your opponent even dream that it's possible to bluff someone out who bet 210 into a 120 chip pot. I think there's avery little chance that they wouldnt have a real hand in that situation.

PktAcesSoWht
03-26-2005, 01:08 PM
First, I wanted to address something that I had forgot to say earlier. if you were in the BB and you had 5 limpers in front of you, first round even 10/20 blinds, if you bet 200 and had a fold equity of only 50 percent, and only won 1/3 of the time it would be a +EV move. So when you talk about overbetting the pot, just remember you don't have to win everytime for it to be a +EV.

.5*100=t50 33%(50%)300=t49.5 win when called,
66%(50%)-200=-t66 you lose when called
T50+T49.5=T99.5 when they fold or you win when called minus T66 that you lose when called and you lose. it comes out to +33.5.

As you can see, an overbet can be a +EV move and worth making. My JTs against a random pair of cards will win more at %33 of the time against 4 people so I don't think that these numbers were that far off. This was the purpose of betting the amount I did. Unfortunately against KK you have 0% fold equity, and thus you are in trouble.

well, the reason I thought about the scare tactic is the fact that I have had several people come over the top like that when I bet out.

I agree with pretty much everything people have said here. The funny thing is if it weren't for the slow play of the KK, I believe the majority of times I would have one this pot right then and there.

I think my only error in this hand was not checking the turn just to be sure of where I stood. I had great implied odds if I hit my straight on the turn and as it was I thought I had 10 outs as long as I was not up against the overpair, which, unfortunately was the case. I should have checked the turn and folded to a bet, because that would have shown that he was not concerned with the J because he had a higher pair.

you have to vary your play, and as such that is why I played this hand, and played it in this way. I almost never play hands out of position but occasionally I will play suited connectors from any position.

Thanks again for your thoughts and comments. I appreciate it.

adanthar
03-26-2005, 01:26 PM
[ QUOTE ]
First, I wanted to address something that I had forgot to say earlier. if you were in the BB and you had 5 limpers in front of you, first round even 10/20 blinds, if you bet 200 and had a fold equity of only 50 percent, and only won 1/3 of the time it would be a +EV move. So when you talk about overbetting the pot, just remember you don't have to win everytime for it to be a +EV.

.5*100=t50 33%(50%)300=t49.5 win when called,
66%(50%)-200=-t66 you lose when called
T50+T49.5=T99.5 when they fold or you win when called minus T66 that you lose when called and you lose. it comes out to +33.5.

[/ QUOTE ]

Until you call the guy that minimum raised your overbet, then shoveled the rest of your chips in when you hit a jack.

So, your calculation is off and you lose about -800 when called, making it a -EV play. Do you see why?

[ QUOTE ]
As you can see, an overbet can be a +EV move and worth making.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, it can, just not here.

[ QUOTE ]
I agree with pretty much everything people have said here. The funny thing is if it weren't for the slow play of the KK, I believe the majority of times I would have one this pot right then and there.

[/ QUOTE ]

"If only one of the three people I was betting into, including the blinds, didn't have a hand on this semi-coordinated flop, the quarter of my stack I put in would win a t120 pot /images/graemlins/frown.gif" has got to be one of the worst excuses for a terrible play I've ever read on this forum.

[ QUOTE ]
I think my only error in this hand was not checking the turn just to be sure of where I stood. I had great implied odds if I hit my straight on the turn and as it was I thought I had 10 outs as long as I was not up against the overpair, which, unfortunately was the case.

[/ QUOTE ]

Really? You have ten outs against 97, 75, 86, 99, 77, 55, etc., all of which play this hand completely identically?

Your only error in this hand was playing it like a fish from start to finish.

[ QUOTE ]
you have to vary your play

[/ QUOTE ]

No, you don't; you'll never see any of these people again. Which is a good thing, really, because the one or two observant people at the table already have "LAGgy fish" all over their notes.

curtains
03-26-2005, 01:54 PM
Another important thing to note, Let's assume I raised preflop and my opponent calls, and I miss the flop. If I overbet the flop and my opponent folds 65% of the time, It's a +EV bet. However usually I can acheive the same result by betting signifigantly less, and now my opponent may fold somewhere from 60-65% of the time.

My point is that overbetting the pot may be +EV sometimes, however betting less will often be even higher +EV.

RiverDood
03-26-2005, 04:08 PM
Devastatingly accurate analysis.

I thought the pre-flop limp was defensible. It's a little loose and if there's a raiser after you, you're in trouble. But with blinds that low, you can hope for a chance to see a cheap flop in multiway action -- when JTs could play very well. You got lucky and ended up with just that.

The giant flop bet makes me cringe, though. Now the flop has missed you, and you've got no certainty that it's missed everyone else. To go back to old-time maxims, you're betting a lumberyard to win a toothpick.

KK took you apart, but so would have 55, 77, 79s, J9 and several other plausible hands. I'll echo other posters: Once you're at the flop, the two main choices are to check/fold, or to take one more stab at it, betting 2/3 of the pot, and not chasing the pot afterward if you get action.

The math on the turn bet is accurate but only in the sense of making the best of a bad situation. Did you go into this hand saying: "I'd like to work this hand so that by the turn, I'm a 3:1 dog with so much money already in the pot that my only hope of salvation is to push -- and hope to hit a 10-outer (or perhaps a 2-outer or a zero-outer) on the river?"

Nope.

All that said, I hope this doesn't sound like piling on. You had the guts to post a problem hand, and the wisdom to know that at some point, you must have picked the wrong fork on the decision tree.

If we're getting a little blunt in our replies, it's just because we think you can sharpen up your game a lot more by rethinking these kinds of hands at the pre-flop or flop stage. That's all

PktAcesSoWht
03-27-2005, 01:39 PM
Thank you all so much for taking the time to share your thoughts on this hand. I really really appreciate it.

brutal honesty is always welcomed. you are all class acts. thanks