Very questionable, 2nd pair into a LAG PFR

[phillydilly]

CO was 30/14/2.8 in 30 hands
Went to showdown 54%
Won at showdown 43%
MP1 no read, less than 20 hands

Normally, I would not make this play, but against a LAG who is raising 14% of hands preflop, can i get away with this?
MP1 just looked like an obvious flush draw.


Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (7 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 calls, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls, MP1 calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (8.50 SB) 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, BB folds, MP1 calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (7.25 BB) 7/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO calls, MP1 calls.

River: (10.25 BB) 4/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, CO calls, MP1 folds.

Final Pot: 12.25 BB

[chief444]

I don't know. Those stats don't look too laggy to me. And it looks like you have really no chance of folding 99-KK or better. I can't think of too many hands you beat here.

[bookie socks]

..

[ArturiusX]

CO probably has JJ and is calling down after an aggressive flop attack.

There's almost no way your good here, and theres no reason to bet the river - a better hand won't fold, worse one won't call etc.

[crunchy1]

I'm not sure that 30 hands is enough to peg CO as a LAG with those stats. If you did think he was a LAG then you should be dumping this PF. There's only 1 limper in front of you and if you can expect him to raise a good percentage of the time then I think he's cutting down your implied odds often enough to make small suited connectors unplayable (although I suppose this depends also on your reads of the remaining players left to act after him as well).