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cockandbull
03-21-2005, 11:36 PM
I posted this in the poker theory forum and was told it would be more suited here, so i'm looking to learn a little about this. Can anyone recommend any material. I thought to use google but am not sure how good it would be for someone with little knowledge of the subject. Any advice would be gratelfully recieved.

Harry

uuDevil
03-22-2005, 02:54 AM
Try this webpage: http://yudkowsky.net/bayes/bayes.html

Also, there are many posts in this forum that involve using Bayes Theorem. Here is one example that was kind of fun for me: Probability Question. (http://archiveserver.twoplustwo.com/showthreaded.php?Cat=&Number=923052&page=&view=&sb =5&o=&vc=1)

Another good example is in this long thread. (http://archiveserver.twoplustwo.com/showthreaded.php?Cat=&Number=913135&page=&view=&sb =5&o=) Read the OP and all of Ed Miller's subsequent responses.

The search function is bound to turn up many other examples.

jason1990
03-22-2005, 01:35 PM
I just want to point out that if you only read Ed Miller's posts or even David Sklansky's Theory of Poker, then you might end up misinformed about Bayes Theorem. What they often refer to as Bayes Theorem is actually just simple "conditional probability". There is a distinction and this distinction is important to some people. (Knowing that there is a distinction also makes googling easier.) But of course, if you understand the concepts and know how to apply them, then it doesn't matter whether you call what you're doing Bayes Theorem or the Horse Fart Theorem -- you get the same answer.

But if you learn how to use "conditional probability" in poker, then you will have nearly all the tools you need to use what is commonly called "Bayes Theorem" in these forums. Moreover, you really need to understand conditional probability first, before you try to understand the actual theorem called Bayes Theorem.