AKo faces river bet after little action

[DavidC]

CO: LAP,
-rt tpbk aft no act
-cf mon, f to 2 back
(Raised the turn with top pair bad kicker (6-2) after no action on the flop, called the flop on a monotone board, but folded when it was two back to him.)

MP3: TPA,
-3bf mon 2pr tb, btr
(Three-bet a monotone flop with 2pr, top and bottom pair, bet it to the river.)

If I were in MP3, I would call the river, expecting perhaps to chop or lose to a small PP.

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Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (10 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with K/images/graemlins/club.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif. UTG posts a blind of $0.5.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls, MP3 calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG (poster) calls, Hero calls, MP2 calls, MP3 calls.

Flop: (15.50 SB) 7/images/graemlins/club.gif, 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 8/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets</font>, CO calls, UTG calls, Hero calls, MP2 calls.

Turn: (10.25 BB) 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks, CO checks.

River: (10.25 BB) 2/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, UTG folds, Hero folds, MP2 folds, MP3 calls.

Final Pot: 12.25 BB

[ArturiusX]

CO probably hit his set of 2s, I'd fold, I dont think ace high is going to win this.

[DavidC]

MP3 is pretty aggressive too... sorry, I just added that read, as well changing "calling the turn" to "river".

There's certainly a chance that AK will beat the original bettor, but is that chance 10%

How about the chop? If I will ONLY chop, then I'd need the chance to be 20% right?

I don't know... it's a tough decision.

Also, should I have raised this river?

Calling would perhaps have been better with three opponents, but with 5 I'm not too pleased about having two yet to act and having all those extra opponents there as pressure against the first bettor.

--Dave.

[ArturiusX]

I think your under estimating the amount of fish that would slowplay their set of 8s here.

[DavidC]

good point re: sp set 8

[Shillx]

This is a really bad fold imo.

Brad

[mmbt0ne]

</font><blockquote><font class="small">En réponse à:</font><hr />
CO probably hit his set of 2s, I'd fold, I dont think ace high is going to win this.

[/ QUOTE ]

What 2 did CO 3bet with preflop? CO has AK also I think, JJ-AA all find a bet on this board before the river.

[DavidC]

You being serious?

Firstly, the caller had AQs diamonds (unimproved) and beat out the bettor who had KJs either clubs or spades (unimproved).

I really think that I could have a chance at winning or at least chopping the pot if I called.

However, my position really sucked.

I couldn't predict what the people behind me, particularly the caller, would do, therefore I don't know if I can call this.

I could raise it, if the guys to my left were tight enough, but I'd probably be throwing cash away doing that...

It kinda sucks.