private joker
03-06-2005, 11:08 PM
Mid-way through a 1-table Sit N Go. I'm 2nd in chips with about T1500. Blinds are 50/100
Folded to me on the button with 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif
My image is very tight at this point (have tangled in very few pots) and both blinds are tight players, but BB is the chip leader with about T2000. It's a good opportunity for a steal, even if it's a transparent steal. I make it 300 to go.
SB folds, BB calls. BB is tight, but can be aggressive with a big stack. But he knows how I play and his call means he has a hand. He only bets made hands; never in hundreds of hands with him has he bet a draw.
Flop is J/images/graemlins/club.gif 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif Pot is 650
BB bets 150. I raise to 450 on a semi-bluff, hoping to take the pot down there -- but if not, I have 12 outs to a flush or straight.
BB pushes.
Ooops! Well, I've got 750 left and I'm getting about 2.5:1 on a call. Since I am very sure he is not on a flush draw, my heart outs are clean. If he has AJ I'm in decent shape, and if he has a set, I'm still in decent shape. (Poker calculator says that against a set I'm 34% to win the hand). If he does have a set, only the J/images/graemlins/heart.gif is a dirty out for me, so I have 11 clean, twice.
Do you call? As a 2:1 dog, I'm getting the right price on my draw -- but do I risk my tournament here? 3 get paid, and there are 5 left at this point.
EDIT: I'm actually a 3:1 dog if he has a set -- screwed up the poker calculations. That means I'm not getting the right price to call. But if he has AJ I'm about even money. Thoughts?
Folded to me on the button with 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif
My image is very tight at this point (have tangled in very few pots) and both blinds are tight players, but BB is the chip leader with about T2000. It's a good opportunity for a steal, even if it's a transparent steal. I make it 300 to go.
SB folds, BB calls. BB is tight, but can be aggressive with a big stack. But he knows how I play and his call means he has a hand. He only bets made hands; never in hundreds of hands with him has he bet a draw.
Flop is J/images/graemlins/club.gif 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif Pot is 650
BB bets 150. I raise to 450 on a semi-bluff, hoping to take the pot down there -- but if not, I have 12 outs to a flush or straight.
BB pushes.
Ooops! Well, I've got 750 left and I'm getting about 2.5:1 on a call. Since I am very sure he is not on a flush draw, my heart outs are clean. If he has AJ I'm in decent shape, and if he has a set, I'm still in decent shape. (Poker calculator says that against a set I'm 34% to win the hand). If he does have a set, only the J/images/graemlins/heart.gif is a dirty out for me, so I have 11 clean, twice.
Do you call? As a 2:1 dog, I'm getting the right price on my draw -- but do I risk my tournament here? 3 get paid, and there are 5 left at this point.
EDIT: I'm actually a 3:1 dog if he has a set -- screwed up the poker calculations. That means I'm not getting the right price to call. But if he has AJ I'm about even money. Thoughts?