03-05-2005, 07:40 PM
Watch out books. I have won 3 of my last 5. Smokin'.
1. Clippers -3 (Denver)
Since they came back from that ridiculously long road trip, the Clippers have come back to form, winning all 3 at home by healthy margins. Kenyon Martin is probably out tonight for Denver, which is a significant matchup problem for them vis-a-vis Elton Brand. Who on Denver is going to guard him? DeMarr Johnson? Camby? Melo? I think the Clippers would win this by 3 if Martin was healthy ... without him, I'm all over it.
2. and 3. Atlanta +6 (76ers) and over 197:
God I hate taking Atlanta. But it seems lately everytime they've caught my eye and I've stayed away, they've covered (not that frequently, mind you). I think 6 is a lot for the 76ers to be laying on the road. Ccx really opened by eyes yesterday to how poorly the 76ers were playing going into that game last night. Atlanta is not terrible at home. They can stay within 6. Other than Iverson, I'm not sure there are huge matchups in Philly's favor. Al Harrington can play Webber, who is a defensive liability. Which leads to my next explanation ... neither team is proficient defensively. Atlanta probably will give up a ton tonight, but so will the 76ers, who played last night. I think Atlanta stays close by putting up 100 points.
4. Suns -12 1/2 (Blazers)
This is an anti-Blazers bet more than a pro-Suns bet. The Suns have won ONE, count 'em, ONE game by more than 12 points in their last 10, and that includes games against Utah, Golden State, and Boston at home (which they lost outright). But Portland is just terrible, in a mess, all banged up, and not suited to run and jump shoot with Phoenix. They lost, at home, last night to a horribly banged-up Indiana team missing both O'Neal and Tinsley, the only 2 guys on that team who are any good. I am hoping Phoenix is all over them tonight in a laugher.
1. Clippers -3 (Denver)
Since they came back from that ridiculously long road trip, the Clippers have come back to form, winning all 3 at home by healthy margins. Kenyon Martin is probably out tonight for Denver, which is a significant matchup problem for them vis-a-vis Elton Brand. Who on Denver is going to guard him? DeMarr Johnson? Camby? Melo? I think the Clippers would win this by 3 if Martin was healthy ... without him, I'm all over it.
2. and 3. Atlanta +6 (76ers) and over 197:
God I hate taking Atlanta. But it seems lately everytime they've caught my eye and I've stayed away, they've covered (not that frequently, mind you). I think 6 is a lot for the 76ers to be laying on the road. Ccx really opened by eyes yesterday to how poorly the 76ers were playing going into that game last night. Atlanta is not terrible at home. They can stay within 6. Other than Iverson, I'm not sure there are huge matchups in Philly's favor. Al Harrington can play Webber, who is a defensive liability. Which leads to my next explanation ... neither team is proficient defensively. Atlanta probably will give up a ton tonight, but so will the 76ers, who played last night. I think Atlanta stays close by putting up 100 points.
4. Suns -12 1/2 (Blazers)
This is an anti-Blazers bet more than a pro-Suns bet. The Suns have won ONE, count 'em, ONE game by more than 12 points in their last 10, and that includes games against Utah, Golden State, and Boston at home (which they lost outright). But Portland is just terrible, in a mess, all banged up, and not suited to run and jump shoot with Phoenix. They lost, at home, last night to a horribly banged-up Indiana team missing both O'Neal and Tinsley, the only 2 guys on that team who are any good. I am hoping Phoenix is all over them tonight in a laugher.