Butchered set of 10s

[Muisyle]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

MP3 ($24.75)
CO ($19.3)
Hero ($42.8)
SB ($33.71)
BB ($22.17)
UTG ($7.32)
UTG+1 ($35.64)
MP1 ($7.55)
MP2 ($82.05)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T/images/graemlins/spade.gif, T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif. SB posts a blind of $0.1.
UTG calls $0.25, UTG+1 calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, Hero calls $0.25, SB (poster) completes, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $1.75</font>, UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls $1.75, SB calls $1.75.

Flop: ($6.50) J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 3/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, T/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $1</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $4</font>, SB calls $4, BB folds.

Turn: ($15.50) A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $10</font>, SB calls $27.71 (All-In), Hero calls $17.71.

River: ($70.92) 6/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players, 1 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: $70.92

This hand is from a couple days ago when I was trying to re-adjust myself to the 100BB stacks. I think I should have raised more on the flop, but what do you do on this turn? This person was pretty loose, QK was a definite possibility, but I could also see AJ or AT or maybe AK calling the flop for just the gutshot. She was a pretty bad player. Do you fold this?

[ihardlyknowher]

I wouldn't fold this in a million years, especially given your analysis.
[ QUOTE ]
QK was a definite possibility, but I could also see AJ or AT or maybe AK calling the flop for just the gutshot

[/ QUOTE ]
There are 16 ways to have KQ, 12 ways to have AK, and 9 ways each to have AT &amp; AJ. Thus, the odds are against the straight.
[ QUOTE ]
She was a pretty bad player.

[/ QUOTE ]
So the range of hands is probably much wider than you thought.
Also, I think a typical Party player is more likely to raise from the BB when he/she is holding an Ace.

Final note, I would raise preflop with TT on the Button.

[steaknshake925]

I secong raising cuz you have button. postflop everything looks good, I wouldn't change anything.

[Muisyle]

actually I think I should take AK out because I'm pretty sure she would have raised it, even from the SB. I don't know that many party players (except super passive ones) that don't raise AK. When I called I was hoping for AJ or AT, but I had this extreme nagging feeling I was going to be shown QK, which I'm sure it's fairly obvious she did have.

[ihardlyknowher]

Even taking AK out, you are looking at a coinflip (where you are the slight favorite), and there's a significant amount of dead money in the pot. Still gotta call, it is +EV.