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View Full Version : Interesting gamble or conserve situation


The_Bends
03-03-2005, 07:18 PM
10 person STT 2000 chips to start with one rebuy of 2000 chips. This hand is in the rebuy period and I plan to use the rebuy if I have to. Blinds are 20/40

Hero: As6s

Limp in preflop with about 6 other callers.

Flop: 9s Jd Qs

So I have the nut flush draw. UTG bets 300, 3 folds, CO min raises to 600.

So the decision is call, fold or all in. I am confident UTG will just call the 300 rather than reriase. However I am also confident that all the money will go in on the turn.

My thoughts.

Fold - Its still very early and these guys are weak players, I'll get a good chance to double up further down the line.

Call - Get to see the turn but will have to go all in to see the river if I don't hit.

All in - Outside chance of both players folding (10% would seem about right). Would likely get one caller

Advice?

rohjoh
03-03-2005, 07:39 PM
You have to figure you are up against a made hand(6 callers). Lets assume UTG has QJ, and CO has K10. Odds to win the pot are 30%(less if either have a set). You are getting 2.5 to 1 pot odds, and you are 3.3 to 1 to win the hand. With only 40 chips invested, looks like a pretty easy fold to me at this point in the tourney.