zac777
02-26-2005, 06:49 AM
100+9, 10/15 blinds.
UTG makes it 90, UTG+2 calls. I make it 250 from the SB with KdKs, both call.
Flop is QJT, 2 clubs. Assuming reasonable players, that flop hits several hands that could be out. QQ, JJ, TT, but most notably AK, which seems to be a fairly likely holding. I think most of the time I'm still ahead here, and even if I'm behind I have outs to the straight and possibly the set. But if I'm up against AK I'm in a whole lot of trouble.
At this point the pot is ~750 and so is my stack. My thought process was something on the order of "overpair/OESD, I have no choice but to get my money in the middle." If I bet anything I'm committed, and checking gives too many free cards, so I got it all in there..
Two questions:
1. Given the action, what % of the time do you expect to be up against AK?
2. Given #1, how big would the stacks have to be before you consider folding this to an all-in reraise (assuming you bet into it enough to not pot commit yourself) or taking a different line such as checking.
At these stack sizes and absent good reads I never fold here, but against 2 very solid players I'd probably need to put some thought into a few other options. There aren't many hands that a good player raises UTG at these blinds that are not ahead of me here. In fact, there probably aren't any. Any thoughts?
UTG makes it 90, UTG+2 calls. I make it 250 from the SB with KdKs, both call.
Flop is QJT, 2 clubs. Assuming reasonable players, that flop hits several hands that could be out. QQ, JJ, TT, but most notably AK, which seems to be a fairly likely holding. I think most of the time I'm still ahead here, and even if I'm behind I have outs to the straight and possibly the set. But if I'm up against AK I'm in a whole lot of trouble.
At this point the pot is ~750 and so is my stack. My thought process was something on the order of "overpair/OESD, I have no choice but to get my money in the middle." If I bet anything I'm committed, and checking gives too many free cards, so I got it all in there..
Two questions:
1. Given the action, what % of the time do you expect to be up against AK?
2. Given #1, how big would the stacks have to be before you consider folding this to an all-in reraise (assuming you bet into it enough to not pot commit yourself) or taking a different line such as checking.
At these stack sizes and absent good reads I never fold here, but against 2 very solid players I'd probably need to put some thought into a few other options. There aren't many hands that a good player raises UTG at these blinds that are not ahead of me here. In fact, there probably aren't any. Any thoughts?