NBA Totals 2/22/05

[20Five]

Plays
NY @ Det Over 184.5

Reason
This number is just a little bit too low (I'd say 4-8 points)

NY is 16/11 O/U this year..

Det is O/U 14-12 in this range

The all star break is a unique one, as it is somewhat different then a usual few days rest.. I dont expect either team to come out and play lock down D..

Over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings.
Over is 8-4 in DET last 12 home games.
Over is 5-2 in NY last seven road games.

Prediction 88:100

Over 184.5

do you post your record? just curious, not trying to be a nit, curious as to how you've been doing

[20Five]

Yeah normally I do, left it off there.. Im at work so I had to wait a minute before digging through old posts and finding it.. I think its like 8-5? or something? /images/graemlins/blush.gif

[20Five]

Posted Record.... 8-4


get money!! /images/graemlins/grin.gif

[MHoydilla]

I dont like the over because of Det being favored by 11. Det. has a habit when they get a big lead (12 +) to really slow the game down. If Det has a big lead after the 3rd you have to be concerned about a 34-40 pt 4th quater.

[ QUOTE ]
I dont like the over because of Det being favored by 11. Det. has a habit when they get a big lead (12 +) to really slow the game down. If Det has a big lead after the 3rd you have to be concerned about a 34-40 pt 4th quater.

[/ QUOTE ]

Good call ... that's why I stayed away from the over although I favored it over the under, the risk that Detroit will be up big and there will be one of those 36-point 4th quarters that's a killer.

[20Five]

As poor as the knicks have played and even with the pistons playing well recently, I dont think this game will be out of hand to the point where either team is going to be slowing down a ton.

I always take this into consideration (look at other writeups), as obviously close games favor overs with late FT's and such..

I feel like detroit will be up 6 going into the fourth, and should end up with a 45-50 pt quarter.. Im hoping that by then that will be plenty /images/graemlins/grin.gif

Love the comments/criticism/debate though.. thats how we improve /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

[MHoydilla]

I enjoy reading your posts 20Five they are very informative. I took Det-NYK over 46.5 in the 1st Quater.

[20Five]

combined? or is it det 46.5 in the half?

i dont see them running it up that high, although with the knicks D you never know /images/graemlins/smile.gif

edit* thanks, nice to know people read them! /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

[20Five]

Winner

lots of wickedness towards the end to somehow put this game over.. was an ugly game, but still had a shot.. the number was too low and it hit, so a win is a win!!

/images/graemlins/grin.gif

Posted Total Record 9-4

the end of that game was ridiculous for gambling purposes

[20Five]

I agree.. quite insane.. I'll take it though /images/graemlins/smirk.gif

[MHoydilla]

Nice pick, I didnt get to see the end of the game. I watched the first quater and once I hit, I turned it off.

[20Five]

Thanks, good 1Q pick as well /images/graemlins/smirk.gif