$.50/1 AKo - HU high card line

[Sponger15SB]

No reads, of course /images/graemlins/tongue.gif

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif.
UTG calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, UTG folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (8.50 SB) 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: (5.25 BB) Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, UTG+1 calls.

River: (9.25 BB) J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>,

[Niediam]

I assume the river bet is a bluff hoping that villian folds a winning hand?

[zuluking]

Raise the flop and get the free card.

[detruncate]

If he called the turn c/r, I seriously doubt he's folding a better hand, including pocket pairs &lt; J. It's possible he called the turn with his 2 outer intending to fold the river sometimes, but most of the time it seems to commit him to showdown. I don't think AT or less is paying you off. Seems like the best you can hope for is to avoid a split, but that puts him on exactly AK.

The board hit most legit raising hands by the river, and AA and KK have no reason to fold. If it's something more funky, he's probably the type to show down a hand that beats us and fold something we're ahead of. I would have thought the free showdown UI was a nice side benefit of the turn raise. Am I looking at this incorrectly?