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View Full Version : AQ as two-pair on str8&flush board - heavy action? Fold?


Akimka
02-22-2005, 11:31 AM
One simple question: fold it on turn when it comes back as 3bet? How to play it correctly?

Button is very LAG: VPIP 48, PFR 26, postflop agr 3/3/2.11
SB is sLP-P: VPIP 23, PFR 1.79
BB is loose/agressive: VPIP 63, PFR 5.26

Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A/images/graemlins/heart.gif, Q/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls, MP3 calls.

Flop: (10 SB) J/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif, T/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, SB calls, BB calls, MP3 folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, Button calls, SB calls, BB calls.

Turn: (11 BB) Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, BB calls, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, BB folds, Hero calls, Button folds.

River: (20 BB) 3/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 22 BB

IsaacW
02-22-2005, 11:59 AM
It sure looks like SB made a flush on the turn, since he cold called on the flop. In that case, and barring him holding the A/images/graemlins/diamond.gifK/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, you have 4 outs to a boat to beat him and are getting 9:1 to make the call. If he happens to have a straight, you have additional equity to a chop (3 Ks).

This is a close decision on the turn, because you have to make an extra 3 BB on the river to cover the 10.5:1 shot of making your boat.

Redd
02-22-2005, 12:13 PM
But if a laggy button raised this turn there's a good chance he'll cap it, throwing the odds way out. Since they were pretty slim even if you're guaranteed that the turn will stop at 3 bets, I'd just let it go on the turn.

Akimka
02-22-2005, 12:13 PM
What about river call? Is here is 1:20 odds to win this pot?

Redd
02-22-2005, 12:17 PM
The way it played out, I'd call the river with top 2 for one bet closing the action. I think it's close if SB is really passive, since the odds of a bluff are almost nil, but in poker you can't be 96% sure of anything.