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View Full Version : Bubble Decision KQo

davehwm
02-22-2005, 12:35 AM
Not sure what to do here. I really have no reads as I was multi-tabling and arguing with some guy in chat about sucking him out on the bubble (I know, -EV).

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Hero (t1275)
SB (t4825)
BB (t830)
UTG (t1070)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K/images/graemlins/club.gif, Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
UTG folds, Hero??
zaphod
02-22-2005, 12:41 AM
I would push. I hate trying to fold myself to third or second place. Better to go down fighting!
holeplug
02-22-2005, 12:44 AM
Unless your pattern mapper says your getting AA next hand, this is an easy push
curtains
02-22-2005, 05:11 AM
I go allin here.
eastbay
02-22-2005, 12:17 PM
[ QUOTE ]
Not sure what to do here. I really have no reads as I was multi-tabling and arguing with some guy in chat about sucking him out on the bubble (I know, -EV).

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Hero (t1275)
SB (t4825)
BB (t830)
UTG (t1070)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K/images/graemlins/club.gif, Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
UTG folds, Hero??

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree with the push, but I think it's a bit closer maybe than the CV so far in this thread. If this is a low buy-in, loose play involving any ace puts you in some danger here when you're 2nd in chips.

Let's put BB on a tight calling range of 77+,AT+, since he's trying to slide into the money. Big stack is looser since he can lose the hand and still not bust, and he knows all 3 of the short stacks are hanging on by their fingernails. Let's start with 55+,A5+,KJ+:

http://sitngo-analyzer.com/poker/KQo.PNG

The analysis says push and I like it. However, if you'd been paying a little attention and noticed that SB is looser than that and will call with any ace or any pair, and in addition, BB is a bad player who will do the same, now you're in more trouble:

http://sitngo-analyzer.com/poker/KQo-loose.PNG

The analysis shows a close fold. Of course, you'd have to have these reads, especially on BB to follow this line of reasoning and fold. What was the buy-in? The second scenario comes into play more often in $5+1 and $10+1. I wouldn't consider it at $50+5.

By default, I like the first set of assumptions better and push.

eastbay