How would you play this?

[LinusKS]

I'd only just sat down. Sorry, no reads.

Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif.
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP3 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG calls, MP3 calls.

Flop: (9 SB) K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, 9/images/graemlins/club.gif, T/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB folds, UTG calls, MP3 calls.

Turn: (7.50 BB) 5/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, MP3 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises</font>, MP3 folds, Hero calls.

River: (11.50 BB) 4/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 13.50 BB

Did I puss out?

Or should I have folded the turn?

[housenuts]

sounds like 99 to me. i think i play it the same way.

[LinusKS]

I figure this pot is offering me 13.5:2, and I'm drawing very very slim (no more than six outs - probably two).

I don't know exactly what percentage of the time the UTG has what he's representing, but I don't think it's as high as 90%, do you?

Btw, what makes you say 99?

[billyjex]

No way should you fold this.

People will C/R the turn will much less than a set often. Even less than two pair sometimes (maybe he picked up a spade draw along with his pair.)

I wouldn't consider 3-betting though.

[Elizabeth]

I disagree -- a player may c/r on the turn with a lot less, but this particular player called two cold on the flop and waited until the turn to c/r. This is unlikely to be a semibluff because there weren't any draws on the flop. Waiting like that is a made hand.

Hero is getting 11.5:2 by my count, because if he called the turn he'll call the river too. If villain has 2 pair, then hero has some outs (2 aces and 6 board pairs) to aces up, which makes it a thin but clear call *if* villain has 2 pair. Villain will have more than 2 pair most the time.

Bascially, against typical play it's clear that hero is behind. He might have 2 outs, he might have 8 outs, and he might even be drawing dead. Getting 5:1 is not enough.