02-15-2005, 04:14 PM
YTD (posted) 56-47-1
Only one play tonight, despite a healthy board of action:
1. Chicago +1 (Sacramento)
It does not look like Peja is playing for SAC, but I would have taken the point even if he was playing. Chicago is 22-10 in their last 32. They are coming off big road wins against Dallas and Minnesota. While they are returning from a long road trip, their first home game back after their other long road trip was a win -- against the Lakers (with Kobe). And that win made them 2-10. So I don't have any fear about the "first game back" syndrome. Meanwhile this is Sacramento's 5th in 8, and they have bounced between home and a bunch of other cities over the past week. They've also played some of the big run-n-gun teams -- their last 4 are Phoenix, Seattle, Dallas, and Boston. They have to be a little tired at the least. Meanwhile, I just don't think they are that good. They give up a ton of points, and it's tough to outscore your opponent every night (unless you are Phoenix). Webber is a good match-up advantage for Sacramento, but Chicago's bench is much better than Sacramento's, and without Stojakovic SAC loses the SF matchup. It should be a close game, but I see no reason why Chicago is not a 2 or 3 point favorite here, and think that they will win the game (I grudgingly take the point).
Only one play tonight, despite a healthy board of action:
1. Chicago +1 (Sacramento)
It does not look like Peja is playing for SAC, but I would have taken the point even if he was playing. Chicago is 22-10 in their last 32. They are coming off big road wins against Dallas and Minnesota. While they are returning from a long road trip, their first home game back after their other long road trip was a win -- against the Lakers (with Kobe). And that win made them 2-10. So I don't have any fear about the "first game back" syndrome. Meanwhile this is Sacramento's 5th in 8, and they have bounced between home and a bunch of other cities over the past week. They've also played some of the big run-n-gun teams -- their last 4 are Phoenix, Seattle, Dallas, and Boston. They have to be a little tired at the least. Meanwhile, I just don't think they are that good. They give up a ton of points, and it's tough to outscore your opponent every night (unless you are Phoenix). Webber is a good match-up advantage for Sacramento, but Chicago's bench is much better than Sacramento's, and without Stojakovic SAC loses the SF matchup. It should be a close game, but I see no reason why Chicago is not a 2 or 3 point favorite here, and think that they will win the game (I grudgingly take the point).