Double belly buster + overcard play

[bigredlemon]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Hero (t1205)
SB (t2580)
BB (t1520)
UTG (t1165)
MP (t1530)

Preflop: Hero is Button with K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, T/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP calls t50, Hero calls t50, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t200) 9/images/graemlins/heart.gif, J/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 7/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, MP checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t50</font>, SB calls t50, BB folds, MP calls t50.

Turn: (t350) 2/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, MP checks, Hero checks.

River: (t350) 5/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, MP checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: t350

With any 8 or Q will give me the straight, K will give me top pair, and I presume hitting T will be an out too, so I'm anywhere from 50% to 35% to win it. So the t50 bet was a semi-probing semi-betting for value and semi-buying a freecard.

[david050173]

1) fold preflop:)
2) Bet more or don't bet on the flop. At the 50 level too many people are going to call a minibet to see one card. Bet 100-125 and people with just overs will think about folding. Personally I would take the free card rather than putting more money in the pot, KTo is just not a hand I want to be losing a lot of money with.

As far as your chances of winning, I am guessing it is well less than 50%. If someone has QT a lot of your outs are dirty. Same thing if someone is holding KJ.