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View Full Version : Is it +$EV to call this push? ICM calculations inside


Scuba Chuck
02-05-2005, 05:25 PM
It's Middle Play. Blinds at 100/200. 5 players remaining.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (5 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

MP (t704)
Button (t1941)
Hero (t700)
BB (t3175)
UTG (t1480)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7/images/graemlins/club.gif, 7/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises to t704 (All-In)</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls t600 (All-In), BB calls t504.

Flop: (t2108) 9/images/graemlins/club.gif, 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players, 2 all-in)</font>

Turn: (t2108) Q/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players, 2 all-in)</font>

River: (t2108) 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players, 2 all-in)</font>

Final Pot: t2108

Although I won this hand, I wanted to see if this is a "smart" move.

ICM analysis below. Please let me know if this looks right. Thanks ahead of time.

FOLD: 8.75% Prize Pool Equity

Call &amp; Win: 21.25% Prize Pool Equity

Call &amp; Lose: 0.00% Prize Pool Equity

Pusher is also the small stack, therefore I put him on a wider range of pushing hands. I have used 44+, Any two broadway cards, and A7+.

77 is pretty much precisely a coinflip in this situation.

Calling = (.5)(0.0%) + (.5)(21.25%) = 10.6% Prize Pool Equity

Fold (8.75%) vs Calling (10.6%). This is a smart move. Is this correct?

syka16
02-05-2005, 05:43 PM
you got your mid pair. I'm getting my call on.

Scuba Chuck
02-05-2005, 05:45 PM
Syka, without some context I question your comment.