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View Full Version : Equity Calculation...did I screw this one up?


MikeRand2000
01-31-2005, 01:02 PM
An interesting hand from a $22 SNG that I won today...

Status
Hero (3850) in big blind (400)
Bad guy (1000) under the gun
Random 1 (2560) on button
Random 2 (590) in small blind (200)

Hero is dealt 3/images/graemlins/heart.gif2/images/graemlins/spade.gif. Bad guy raises to 800. Randoms 1 and 2 fold.

Ok, here's the interesting part.

1) Pot is 1400 (blinds + 800). It's 400 for me to call. I figure I'm getting > 3:1 here.

2) I do the following math:
50% chance of overpair (= 5:1 against = 8% equity)
50% chance of overcards (= 5:3 against = 19% equity)
0% chance of bluff (any bluff is better than my two cards)
That's 27%. I'm getting over 3:1 on odds of less than 3:1.

I raise 800 to put him all in.

Flop comes:
Q/images/graemlins/club.gifA/images/graemlins/club.gif3/images/graemlins/spade.gif

Turn comes:
3/images/graemlins/club.gif

River comes:
Q/images/graemlins/diamond.gif

Hero wins when bad guy shows K/images/graemlins/diamond.gifJ/images/graemlins/heart.gif. Hero subsequently gets berated by bad guy for the "horrible" call.

Was this such a bad call? In my mind its a call that a) leaves me no worse than 400 chips behind the leader b) is in the money based on conservative preflop estimation (50% pair vs. 50% non-pair) and c) eliminates a jackass who uses a pro's name in his/her party alias.

What do you all think? Was I crazy? Am I misreading Harrington on Hold'em?

Thanks,

Mike

MikeRand2000
01-31-2005, 01:14 PM
Actually, looking at my own post, seems like Bad guy could have kept me out of this hand by going all in. 600 to call on a 1600 pot is less than what I'd need.

What a clown.