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Shang Chou
01-24-2005, 09:49 PM
I recently bought poker tracker and have imported all the hand histories on my harddrive from party poker into it.

Pretty funny stuff going on:

At 50 NL I have 1 hand played and I make 1992.50 BB/100 hands. This was one time when I was drunk and wnated to play some poker so I bought in and posted and got dealt AA and was all in preflop against someone else and my AA held up and I doubled up and left.

Limit holdem:

1/2: 588 hands played and I am a 4.5 BB/100 hands loser.
2/4: 5033 hands played and I am a 1.25 BB/100 hands winner.
3/6: 538 hands played and I am a 9.97 BB/100 hands winner.
5/10: 133 hands played and I am a 4.62 BB/100 hands winner.
5/10 6 max: 61 hands played and I am a 42.46 BB.100 hands winner.

Any idea on what is going on. I realize I dont have a large enough sample space for 3/6 and 5/10. But I am a winner from what I can tell everytime I play it and I am a lot more comfortable at at these tables than I am at 2/4 or 1/2 where I find myself crossing my fingers hoping top two pair or set holds up against all sorts of straights and flushes.

Why can't I "crush" the 2/4 game. Hell, I can't even beat the 1/2 games. I am sure there is some gaping hole in my game that somehow disapears or becomes irrelevant the moment I step up to 3/6.

I think part of it maybe that I play sorta tight preflop at 2/4 but as soon as the flop comes out I play like the LAGiest fishiest maniacest bad player out there, thinking I can "outplay" the other players or maybe that I justify this type of behavior with "hey the other people are doing it so why cant I?" I dunno. I also notice the tendency to try to bulldoze my way thruogh the pot wiht unimproved big cards at 2/4. Whatever. Just thinking out loud.

If anyone has similar results going on, I'd be interested in hearing what you guys think is going on or if any one has any input that would be cool. Thanks.

cain06
01-24-2005, 09:58 PM
Read SSHE by Ed Miller if you haven't done so already. It will point out a lot of differences that exist in these small limit games.

Grease
01-24-2005, 09:58 PM
I think it's because you have played 5% of the hands required for statistical relevence at 2/4. You can have no idea of your winrate for the amount of poker you have played. You need thousands and thousands more hands.

KidNapster
01-24-2005, 10:36 PM
Your sample size is miniscule. There is nothing "funny" going on. If you expect to have a 10BB/100 win rate... you're going to be in for quite a suprise.

Harv72b
01-24-2005, 10:43 PM
Over my first 1,000 hands at 3/6 I was cruising along at about 14BB/100. I had a bad day yesterday, and it currently stands at 6.4/100 after ~1600. It will drop far lower before I even approach enough hands to matter.

2/4 is the only limit where you have enough hands to produce any kind of relevant stats, but as others have said, win rate isn't nearly one of them.