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View Full Version : Texas Pete clarifies. Guess the number of SnGs completed.


jcm4ccc
01-19-2005, 10:53 AM
From Texas Pete:
[ QUOTE ]
Now we're talking! I knew my experiment would provide some entertainment value for the folks following along at home.
I should mention a couple of other things:

(1) I'm going to bankroll 30 buy-ins and keep playing 'till i've played 200 or i've lost it all.

(2) I probably won't be playing the $30's when I finish posting the 200 hands. I currently have ~$1500 and an ROI ~30% at the 30's. (I just played a lot today away from home where I have the stats.) When I reach $2k I'll be moving up to the 50's.

[/ QUOTE ]

OK, Texas Pete will play the 200s until his 30 buy-in bankroll is gone. So the contest is: How many $200 SnGs will Texas Pete complete until his 30 buy-in bankroll is gone? A gallon of Texas Pete goes to the winner.

Texas Pete wins the Texas Pete if he lasts 200 SnGs without losing his bankroll. So you can't guess 200.

There is no point in guessing ROI (unless he completes all 200), because the ROI is basically determined (with some variability) by how many games he completes until his $6450 bankroll is gone. The ROI is determined by dividing his profit (-$6450 if he loses his bankroll) by his investment (number of SnGs * $215). Here is a chart of his ROI based on how many SnGs he completes, to aid you in your guess:

SnGs ROI
30 -100%
40 -75%
50 -60%
60 -50%
70 -43%
80 -38%
90 -33%
100 -30%
110 -27%
120 -25%
130 -23%
140 -21%
150 -20%
160 -19%
170 -18%
180 -17%
190 -16%
199 -15%


I am adding a poll to this post, just for fun. You can complete the poll if you like. However, you have to reply to this post in order to enter the contest.

jcm4ccc
01-19-2005, 10:54 AM
My guess: 128 SnGs completed.

adanthar
01-19-2005, 11:10 AM
I'll stick with 110. Bad runs are a real bitch up there.

gorgeous
01-19-2005, 11:21 AM
30. Yes, you will bust out of every SNG you play.

TeenerBall
01-19-2005, 01:50 PM
My guess is you'll use your last $215 to buy into #149

The Yugoslavian
01-19-2005, 03:06 PM
99th

dankhank
01-19-2005, 03:57 PM
30 buyins is healthy. the $215 sng's are not.

169 buyins.

Benholio
01-19-2005, 06:04 PM
I think he will complete all 200.

gvibes
01-19-2005, 09:10 PM
[ QUOTE ]
I think he will complete all 200.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is this like betting 1$ on "The Price is Right"?

1C5
01-19-2005, 10:57 PM
187

Daliman
01-19-2005, 11:37 PM
200's are tought, but it don't see a huge problem getting to 200 unless he sucks or runs terrible.

Mystic
01-20-2005, 10:49 AM
146. When is he planning to start this?

Mr_J
01-20-2005, 11:04 AM
Please tell me he's not gonna throw 6k away just to see if he lasts 200 sngs...

McMelchior
01-20-2005, 09:00 PM
OK, I'll specify me earlier guess: 82!