11-01-2001, 12:20 AM
this guy at my work likes to bet, etc. anyway he was talking about the lions sucking and he said they wouldnt win a game out of the last 10.
spur of the moment i said i'd lay him $30:$10 that they would win at least one game this year{straight up}. (heh, everyone[two witnesses and this guy] thought I was stupid because i stood to lose more money than i would win--if im stupid its not for that reason)
afterwards, i figure they'd have to be ~7:1 underdog in every game for this to be a bad bet. am i right in this?
how would i determine something like a teams probability of winning a game(ballpark estimate of course).
is it possible for an NFL team to ever be a ~7:1 underdog???
I figured most games are like 2:1 at worst.
thanks
spur of the moment i said i'd lay him $30:$10 that they would win at least one game this year{straight up}. (heh, everyone[two witnesses and this guy] thought I was stupid because i stood to lose more money than i would win--if im stupid its not for that reason)
afterwards, i figure they'd have to be ~7:1 underdog in every game for this to be a bad bet. am i right in this?
how would i determine something like a teams probability of winning a game(ballpark estimate of course).
is it possible for an NFL team to ever be a ~7:1 underdog???
I figured most games are like 2:1 at worst.
thanks