A bad fold?

[tac252]

what would you guys have done with this hand?


Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A/images/graemlins/diamond.gif, A/images/graemlins/club.gif.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO calls, Button calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (9.50 SB) T/images/graemlins/heart.gif, J/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 2/images/graemlins/spade.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, Button folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, CO calls, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: (10.75 BB) 9/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, UTG+1 calls, Hero folds.

[RichHarden]

Good fold, I really don't see how you're still ahead here. Best case scenario you're beating a fool and behind 2 pair, drawing to 8 outs. However, I think you're more likely behind a set or drawing dead to a straight.

[Redeye]

I think I would still get to a showdown. I've had situations like these where some clown comes alive on the turn trying to steal the pot when a scare card hits. I think UTG+1 has something like JT and is scared CO has a straight.

[SamIAm]

At the point you fold, there's almost 16BB in the pot. You're drawing dead if somebody has the straight already, and it's possible the A/images/graemlins/heart.gif is tainted by the flush. So, that isn't enough reason to call. You have to have some chance that you're still ahead, and I don't think you have it.

I think the fold is ok. If anybody agrees with my tight-weak analysis, do you think hero should fold to the FIRST bet on the turn? (He had even worse odds there.)
-Sam