party poker million tourney

what are the odds an


avg. holdem player has to win one of the semi's


having 5 entries and the max # of chips.


odds of winning more than one?

I've got 5 entries and 9600 bonus points. I figure that I should win the short table twice, giving me slightly better than a one in five chance to win the cruise.


It really all depends on how many play in the first short handed stage. Sexton said in his latest email they expect to take in less than $500,000 total in ppm satalites. Sounds like it will be 2-3 at each short table.