paradise poker i miss pairs

after 44ooo hands i miss a lot pairs

AA 181 seen times

KK 212

QQ 175

JJ 178

TT 183

99 178

88 201

77 203

66 189

55 187

44 194

33 180

22 184

AKs 120

AKo 406

AQs 129

AQo 407

AJs 133

AJo 354


What happends with my pairs ?

there are only 6 ways to get a pair of aces (and kings and any other pair) there are 16 ways to see AK. your 181 AA and 526 AK are not that far off of what you would expect

Let C(n,k) be the "choose k from n" operator: n! / (k! (n-k)!)


The number of ways to get a pair of aces (or any other pair) is:


C(4,2) = 6


Divide that by the number of holdem hands possible:


C(52,2) = 1326


To get the probability for aces:


P_aces = 0.0045


Multiplied by the number of hands you stated:


P_aces * 44000 = 199.0950


So if you recieved your fair share you would recieve 200 of each pair. So you're a little low on aces but a little high on kings. No major differences. Play another 200.000 hands and it will even out...


Sincerely, Andreas

Thanks for the mathmatical specifics, I'm remembering back to my last math class now...


-MD