One Armed Dwarf
01-05-2005, 04:18 AM
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (8 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)
UTG (t880)
UTG+1 (t2130)
MP1 (t2260)
MP2 (t2570)
CO (t1170)
Hero (t1470)
SB (t1480)
BB (t1540)
Preflop: Hero is Button with A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, K/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t100</font>, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1470</font>, SB folds, BB folds, MP2 calls t1370.
Flop: (t2970) 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 5/images/graemlins/club.gif, 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Turn: (t2970) 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
River: (t2970) 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Final Pot: t2970
Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
MP2 has Qd Qh (two pair, queens and fours).
Hero has As Ks (one pair, fours).
Outcome: MP2 wins t2970. </font>
I think this play was a mistake, but I'd like some feedback.
Assuming that I get called only with AK or a pocket pair, my equity really sucks. I think this might actually be a reasonable assumption - I play very cheap SNGs where barely anyone raises that big without phenomenal hands. As best as I can figure, this play has a negative expectation, but it seems ridiculous to abandon AKs.
Any comments on this analysis? Am I being completely unreasonable in assuming that a low-limit players wouldn't make this raise and call with AQs (which flips it to positive expectation)?
What about if I had cold-called or re-raised 300 or 400?
If I call, I guess I hope for an A or K and make money off of from AQ, KQ, etc.
If I re-raise and I am re-raised all-in, then I am compelled to call. However, opponent might just call with lesser hands such as AQ which might make the play positive expectation.
I'm curious which of these plays you guys would make, and how you would respond to a bet on a missed flop.
UTG (t880)
UTG+1 (t2130)
MP1 (t2260)
MP2 (t2570)
CO (t1170)
Hero (t1470)
SB (t1480)
BB (t1540)
Preflop: Hero is Button with A/images/graemlins/spade.gif, K/images/graemlins/spade.gif.
UTG folds, UTG+1 folds, MP1 folds, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t100</font>, CO folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1470</font>, SB folds, BB folds, MP2 calls t1370.
Flop: (t2970) 4/images/graemlins/spade.gif, 5/images/graemlins/club.gif, 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Turn: (t2970) 8/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
River: (t2970) 7/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Final Pot: t2970
Results in white below: <font color="#FFFFFF">
MP2 has Qd Qh (two pair, queens and fours).
Hero has As Ks (one pair, fours).
Outcome: MP2 wins t2970. </font>
I think this play was a mistake, but I'd like some feedback.
Assuming that I get called only with AK or a pocket pair, my equity really sucks. I think this might actually be a reasonable assumption - I play very cheap SNGs where barely anyone raises that big without phenomenal hands. As best as I can figure, this play has a negative expectation, but it seems ridiculous to abandon AKs.
Any comments on this analysis? Am I being completely unreasonable in assuming that a low-limit players wouldn't make this raise and call with AQs (which flips it to positive expectation)?
What about if I had cold-called or re-raised 300 or 400?
If I call, I guess I hope for an A or K and make money off of from AQ, KQ, etc.
If I re-raise and I am re-raised all-in, then I am compelled to call. However, opponent might just call with lesser hands such as AQ which might make the play positive expectation.
I'm curious which of these plays you guys would make, and how you would respond to a bet on a missed flop.