10-14-2001, 11:07 PM
Still gotta love those road teams! For the games on Monday I would lean towards a bet on the road teams again, although the momentum is clearly against both of them.
The M's price is way too high, but once again the matchup of Finley and Moyer is very advantageous to them. Indians lineup is full of fastball hitters so Moyer's success against them this year should be no surprise. Thing is when you throw with that kind of stuff you better be on perfectly, the line is very thin. However I think Cleveland has to be emotionally down. A veteran team that has blown many chances in the playoffs before, I can't help but wonder what kind of effort will be coming here. Despite the game being overpriced, I will pass because I worry too much about the Indians pressing too hard against a great control pitcher that won't give them much to hit.
The Yankees are lower priced than I expected. I don't think the A's will share the Indians mindset though, they strike me as being a carefree team that can come up with a breakout game or a dud at any moment. They still have the talent edge and the pitching edge here. I really wonder just how fit Clemens is to pitch here. If he isn't healthy, that fastball won't be effective and the A's will pound him. You can't be a pure gas pitcher with a bum hamstring. The A's are a fastball hitting team like Cleveland and if he is even 2-3 mph off they will get him. I worry a bit about how much emotional help the Yanks will get as they were playing in a pretty listless Yankee Stadium to open the series, but now the place should be charged. Home edge usually manifests itself only when its a tight game down the stretch and a young pitcher gets rattled by the crowd. There could be situations like that so I will proceed with caution, but take the A's. Further I also like that total at 8 to go over. I am looking for the A's to possibly jump on Clemens or the Yanks to lay it on a young pitcher in the pressure cooker.
The M's price is way too high, but once again the matchup of Finley and Moyer is very advantageous to them. Indians lineup is full of fastball hitters so Moyer's success against them this year should be no surprise. Thing is when you throw with that kind of stuff you better be on perfectly, the line is very thin. However I think Cleveland has to be emotionally down. A veteran team that has blown many chances in the playoffs before, I can't help but wonder what kind of effort will be coming here. Despite the game being overpriced, I will pass because I worry too much about the Indians pressing too hard against a great control pitcher that won't give them much to hit.
The Yankees are lower priced than I expected. I don't think the A's will share the Indians mindset though, they strike me as being a carefree team that can come up with a breakout game or a dud at any moment. They still have the talent edge and the pitching edge here. I really wonder just how fit Clemens is to pitch here. If he isn't healthy, that fastball won't be effective and the A's will pound him. You can't be a pure gas pitcher with a bum hamstring. The A's are a fastball hitting team like Cleveland and if he is even 2-3 mph off they will get him. I worry a bit about how much emotional help the Yanks will get as they were playing in a pretty listless Yankee Stadium to open the series, but now the place should be charged. Home edge usually manifests itself only when its a tight game down the stretch and a young pitcher gets rattled by the crowd. There could be situations like that so I will proceed with caution, but take the A's. Further I also like that total at 8 to go over. I am looking for the A's to possibly jump on Clemens or the Yanks to lay it on a young pitcher in the pressure cooker.