85 in SB v. BB - steal?

[Byrn]

This is the second or third hand of 50/100 blinds. I have played only one or two if any hands so far (card dead and steal opportunities limited). IMO BB will likely only call with strong hands - any pair, A with mid kicker or K with good kicker. Blind steal or wait for better cards?

Looks like I am about 35% against a typical calling hand:
pokenum -h 8s 5d - ac th
Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
8s 5d 601078 35.10 1105203 64.54 6023 0.35 0.353
Ac Th 1105203 64.54 601078 35.10 6023 0.35 0.647

And 15% against a worst case scenario:
pokenum -h 8s 5d - as ad
Holdem Hi: 1712304 enumerated boards
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
8s 5d 253639 14.81 1451053 84.74 7612 0.44 0.150
As Ad 1451053 84.74 253639 14.81 7612 0.44 0.850

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (6 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

CO (t1435)
Button (t540)
Hero (t605)
BB (t1430)
UTG (t2330)
MP (t1660)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 8/images/graemlins/club.gif, 5/images/graemlins/heart.gif.
UTG folds, MP folds, CO folds, Button folds,

Hero???

[texasrattlers]

I often push from the SB in a situation like this -- no cards or stealing opportunities and the blinds rising. It seems especially the first time you do this you will only be called by premium hands.

[schwza]

[ QUOTE ]
I often push from the SB in a situation like this -- no cards or stealing opportunities and the blinds rising. It seems especially the first time you do this you will only be called by premium hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

you'll get called by a lot of hands that aren't remotely premium (like a6o), but it's still profitable enough to push. if you wind up all in with a ~35% chance to win, that's not a disaster - it's probably what you eventually wind up with if you folded here.