View Full Version : Odds of Not Having the Best Hand with Trips?
NoOuts12
12-30-2004, 11:11 PM
I have no idea how you could find this, but a lot of hands today have had me wondering...
What is the probability of, on the flop, your low set (2's, 3's) not being the best hand when there are several/many other players in the pot?
gaming_mouse
12-30-2004, 11:47 PM
Hey NoOuts,
It really depends on the texture of the board as well as the preflop action... So there is no simple action to your question.
For example, let's say 4 people go the cap, and you (who were trapped between the raiser PF) also go to the cap with your 22. The flop comes:
A28
There is a much better chance you're beaten here than if the flop came:
928
You also need to consider possible straights and flushes.
Your opponent's actions also tell you alot. For example, if someone 3-bets your flop raise, you have to start suspecting another set.
To to a pure probability calculation, you have to assume random cards for your opponents -- so the exercise is not really that helpful.
HTH,
gm
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