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View Full Version : Can I value bet this river?


Chairman Wood
12-27-2004, 05:43 AM
My read on this guy is that he is 28 % VPIP so not incredibly loose. 8% preflop raise but then gets weaker post flop. Read isn't all that solid less than 30 hands at this time.
Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter (http://www.selachian.com/tools/bisonconverter/hhconverter.cgi)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q/images/graemlins/heart.gif, A/images/graemlins/heart.gif. CO posts a blind of $2.
UTG folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, UTG+2 folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, MP2 calls, MP3 folds, CO (poster) folds, Button folds, SB folds, BB calls, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: (13.50 SB) K/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 8/images/graemlins/heart.gif, 4/images/graemlins/club.gif <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font>
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 folds, BB folds, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, Hero calls.

Turn: (8.75 BB) 4/images/graemlins/heart.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, UTG+1 calls.

River: (10.75 BB) K/images/graemlins/diamond.gif <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 10.75 BB

DeezNutz3
12-27-2004, 06:46 AM
I hope you're joking....easy bet

Shillx
12-27-2004, 07:09 AM
I hope you're joking. Is the villian really check/raising the flop with QQ or JJ (or something like it)...

There is only value in this bet if the villian has AA. There is a decent chance that he has AA IMO, but not enough to make betting profitable. If he calls here, you will lose &gt; 50% IMO.

Brad