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View Full Version : Longest ITM & OTM stretches?


vindikation
12-13-2004, 12:40 PM
After seeing zephyr's post about 17 OTM finishes, I was wondering how common this is. I have only played around 100 SnG's and my longest stretches for each is about 4-5, so I guess variance hasn't caught up with me yet (great /images/graemlins/frown.gif ).

1) What is your longest ITM stretch?

2) What is your longest OTM stretch?

Elektrik
12-13-2004, 01:01 PM
Small sample size (100) since I started keeping close track:

OTM - 9
ITM - 6

MrMon
12-13-2004, 01:47 PM
634 Tourneys (That I have records for)

ITM Streak 6
OTM Streak 13

Win Streak 4

I've never looked at this data before, but since this goes back to my early days, I noticed that my bad loss streaks are now fewer and shorter. Also, my 4th places have also dropped conspicuously since I started concentrating on bubble play. It's now 6th or 1st, with 1sts equaling 2nd and 3rd combined.

Beavis68
12-13-2004, 01:58 PM
I think I had 10 or 12 OTM finishes. About 60% of them were may own bad play too.

After 8months of a mutliple each day I just got burnt out.

kevstreet
12-13-2004, 02:25 PM
Based on 183 SnGs

OTM - 10 (On Tilt)
ITM - 7

slickterp
12-13-2004, 02:32 PM
in - 5, out - 7, based on 140 tourneys

El Maximo
12-13-2004, 02:39 PM
250 $10+1 Sngs. OTM Streak of 8. 2 ITM streaks of 6.

RcrdBoy
12-13-2004, 04:07 PM
OTM - 13
ITM - 6

I also have a few stretches of 6 in a row OTM and a 12 out of 14 ITM.

Daliman
12-13-2004, 04:19 PM
ITM 11 (with 7 wins in a row)
OTM 13

AA suited
12-13-2004, 06:30 PM
50+5

7 itm, with 5 1st place (1,1,2,1,1,3,1)

then right afterwards 8 otm /images/graemlins/frown.gif

but still WAAAY +ROI /images/graemlins/smile.gif

captZEEbo1
12-13-2004, 06:44 PM
itm: 9
otm: 13

jaydoggie
12-14-2004, 07:42 AM
OTM 12
ITM 11

agreeing with a previous poster, i was suffering minor burnout, about half of the time i got my money in with the worst of it, the other half i had AA and lost. however I do not blame this because there were still several chances for me to win, probably.

Mr_J
12-14-2004, 12:10 PM
Had a run of 12 OTM a few days ago. 10 of those I went out in the bubble. Some were inferior hands, but most I had the better hands. The next 7 I placed four 1sts and a 3rd.

Dominic
12-14-2004, 02:00 PM
longest ITM: 8
longest OTM 6

(my name it is) Sam Hall
12-14-2004, 02:25 PM
[ QUOTE ]
1) What is your longest ITM stretch?

2) What is your longest OTM stretch?

[/ QUOTE ]

Since we're on the subject, anyone want to calculate something? First, my stats from a single level:

tournaments: 95
ITM: 36.8%
longest ITM streak: 6
longest OTM streak: 10

probability of running of an ITM streak of 6 given my ITM:
0.368^6=0.0025

probability of running of an OTM streak of 10 given my ITM:
(1-0.368)^10=0.010

Both of these are easily within what I should expect for this sample size of about 100, but I can't really draw much from that. I was wondering if any more experienced players with much larger samples can see the effects of tilt show up by consistently having longer losing streaks than would be predicted from their ITM. This might be another one of my PCP-induced hallucinations, so please correct the theory where it needs it.

Sam

ilya
12-14-2004, 03:23 PM
ITM 9
OOTM 16