View Full Version : Odds of making a four flush by the river
wayotogo
12-10-2004, 03:59 PM
I know the odds of making your flush with two cards to come is 35%. I read that everywhere. Using my method, which is obviously wrong, I get 38,7%. What am I doing wrong:
9/47 + 9/46 = 0,387
topspin
12-10-2004, 04:17 PM
Try 1-P(not making a flush) = 1-(38/47)*(37/46) = 0.35.
Mike Haven
12-10-2004, 04:31 PM
along the same lines as your calculations, try (9/47) + ((9/46) x (38/47))
it is only the 81% of the time that you don't hit on the turn that you are interested in on the river
wayotogo
12-10-2004, 04:54 PM
[ QUOTE ]
along the same lines as your calculations, try (9/47) + ((9/46) x (38/47))
it is only the 81% of the time that you don't hit on the turn that you are interested in on the river
[/ QUOTE ]
Ah, I forgot taking that into account. Thanks!
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