"Best" hands at 2/4.... (crosspost, minor stat content)

[SomethingClever]

I posted this in Probability and got 2 replies, so I'm posting here.

Just looking for confirmation that these are way out of whack.

My biggest "winners" at 2/4. Sample size 11K.

AQs: 1.58
99: 1.55
TT: 1.50
QJs: 1.39
AA: 1.34
ATs: 1.13
KK: 1.1

Aren't these are way off their expected values (AA and KK specifically)? I'm running horribly, right?

Anyone with a larger sample size care to post their top 7 for comparison?

[Jonny Melon]

since you only see a specific pair one in 220 hands, you really are looking at a sample size of 50. A couple of bad beats can really skew that, as the mean here is really prone to outliers.

Jon

[SomethingClever]

[ QUOTE ]
since you only see a specific pair one in 220 hands, you really are looking at a sample size of 50. A couple of bad beats can really skew that, as the mean here is really prone to outliers.

Jon

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, yeah, that's exactly what I'm getting at.

Since I've been running flat at 2/4 for so long, I'm questioning my playing style. I've posted a few tricky hands, had other solid players watch my play, and searched every nook and cranny of my game for leaks.

But I'm beginning to think that what it comes down to is I'm running horribly with big pairs in the short term, and it's killing my earn.