View Full Version : This means I'm running bad, right?
SomethingClever
12-08-2004, 12:24 AM
11K hands at 2/4 and my winrate is 0.3
My biggest winners, in terms of BB/100
AQs: 1.58
99: 1.55
TT: 1.50
QJs: 1.39
AA: 1.34
ATs: 1.13
KK: 1.1
This sucks, right?
Comparison with top 7 hands after 22K at .5/1
AA: 3.33
KK: 2.85
QQ: 1.9
AJs: 1.19
KQs: 1.16
QJs: 1.00
JJ: 0.98
gaming_mouse
12-08-2004, 01:19 AM
It might mean you're running bad. Or it might mean that you have a higher winrate at .5/1.
gm
uuDevil
12-08-2004, 03:28 AM
[ QUOTE ]
11K hands at 2/4 and my winrate is 0.3
My biggest winners, in terms of BB/100
AQs: 1.58
99: 1.55
TT: 1.50
QJs: 1.39
AA: 1.34
ATs: 1.13
KK: 1.1
This sucks, right?
Comparison with top 7 hands after 22K at .5/1
AA: 3.33
KK: 2.85
QQ: 1.9
AJs: 1.19
KQs: 1.16
QJs: 1.00
JJ: 0.98
[/ QUOTE ]
Also compare to these numbers from Pokerroom:
AA 2.74
KK 1.86
QQ 1.26
JJ 0.82
TT 0.46
99 0.25
AQ s 0.59
AJ s 0.42
AT s 0.29
KQ s 0.36
QJ s 0.19
Of course, these are for an average (losing) player.
AA and KK are such a big part of your winrate that if in a small sample you are doing significantly worse with these hands than you would expect to in the long run, it's probably gonna show.
In a small sample (~3,500 hands), I'm currently losing w/ KK, so this alone could account for my mediocre WR in this sample. Besides, I prefer this to the alternative explanations....
SomethingClever
12-08-2004, 12:51 PM
[ QUOTE ]
AA and KK are such a big part of your winrate that if in a small sample you are doing significantly worse with these hands than you would expect to in the long run, it's probably gonna show.
[/ QUOTE ]
Yeah, I should clearly be averaging more than 1.3 BB with AA and 1.1 BB with KK. Not to mention that QQ and JJ are even farther down the list at 2/4...
Ugh.
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